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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustriaAustria Inflation Rate MoM held to 0.0% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Austria Inflation Rate MoM held to 0.0% in July 2026, released August 2026. The print came in hotter than the -0.1% consensus, a hotter print than forecasters anticipated. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.27%. Over the past 3 months, Inflation Rate MoM averaged 0.03%, vs 0.56% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 22nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0
Actual
-0.1
Consensus
0
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.14 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: -0.16
Actual: 0
Error: -0.16
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.65 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.52 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Inflation Rate MoM (Austria) was reported at 0% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of -0.1% by 0.1%. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.19%, ranging from -0.7% to 1.1% across 21 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.03%, down from the prior three at 0.2%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.43%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.31%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Inflation Rate MoM has averaged 0.12%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.14%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 1, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Inflation Rate MoM - AT
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About Inflation Rate MoM — Austria
DEFINITION
The Inflation Rate MoM (Month-over-Month) is a financial indicator that measures the percentage change in the overall price level of goods and services in a given economy from one month to the next. It is a key measure of inflation and provides insight into the rate at which prices are rising or falling, which can impact consumer purchasing power and overall economic stability. This indicator is closely monitored by economists, policymakers, and investors to assess the health of an economy and make informed decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 0 %, consensus -0.1 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 0 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 0 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.65) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - AT Events
| Thursday, August 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | AT | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 51.5 | 51 | 51.50 | Low | |
| Friday, August 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | AT | Producer Price Index YoY | 3.1 | 3.6 | 3.60 | Low | |
| 07:00 | AT | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low | |