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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustriaAustria Manufacturing PMI climbed to 49.4 in February 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2026
Austria Manufacturing PMI climbed to 49.4 in February 2026, up 2.2 from January's 47.2 reading. The reading matched the 48 consensus. Over the past 3 months, Manufacturing PMI averaged 48.25, vs 48.93 in the prior 3-month window.
Latest Release
49.4
Actual
48
Consensus
47.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.6
across last 8 releases
Last Call
Feb 2026
Predicted: 47.03
Actual: 49.4
Error: -2.38
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.65 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Manufacturing PMI (Austria) was reported at 49.40 in February 2026. This beat the market consensus of 48.00 by 1.40. The reading rose from the previous value of 47.20. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through February 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 48.75, ranging from 47.20 to 50.40 across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 48.63, down from the prior three at 48.93.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC). Over the last 8 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.60.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2026.
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Manufacturing PMI - AT
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About Manufacturing PMI — Austria
DEFINITION
Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) is a key economic indicator that measures the health of the manufacturing sector in a country. It is based on a monthly survey of purchasing managers from various industries, providing valuable insights into production levels, new orders, employment, and supplier deliveries. A PMI reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector, while a reading below 50 suggests contraction. This widely followed indicator is used by investors, businesses, and policymakers to assess the overall economic performance and make informed decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Feb 2026): actual 49.4, consensus 48. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 47.2. Before that (Dec 2025): 49.3.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bullish USD, r=0.65) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - AT Events
| Wednesday, July 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | AT | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 50.9 | 50.5 | 49.65 | Low | |
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | AT | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low | |
| 07:00 | AT | Producer Price Index YoY | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.70 | Low | |
| 07:00 | AT | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.5 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Low | |
| 07:00 | AT | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.2 | 0 | 0.00 | Low | |