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Data from Australian Bureau of Statistics. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia Full Time Employment Chg fell to -10.7K in April 2026
Australian Bureau of StatisticsMonthlyReleased May 2026
Australia Full Time Employment Chg fell to -10.7K in April 2026, released May 2026, down 74.1K from March's 63.4K reading. The reading missed the 40K consensus by 50.7K. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 14.55K. Over the past 3 months, Full Time Employment Chg averaged 11K, vs -3K in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 28th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-10.7
Actual
40
Consensus
63.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±51.4 thousand
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 23.25
Actual: -10.7
Error: +33.95
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/NZD | ▲ Direct | +0.84 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.65 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.54 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P/ASX 200 | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Full Time Employment Chg (Australia) was reported at 34 thousand in October 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of -4 thousand. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 7 thousand, ranging from -57 thousand to 55 thousand across 8 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 15 thousand, up from the prior three at 3 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 37 thousand) is comparable than the prior year (σ 38 thousand). In October readings over the past 3 years, Full Time Employment Chg has averaged 32 thousand.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with AUD/NZD (Bullish AUD). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish AUD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 51 thousand.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 19, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC AUD speculative net positions (Oct 30) and Building Permits MoM (Nov 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Full Time Employment Chg - AU
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About Full Time Employment Chg — Australia
DEFINITION
Full Time Employment Chg is a financial indicator that measures the change in the number of individuals who are employed full-time within a given period. This indicator provides valuable insights into the strength of the job market and the overall health of the economy. A positive change in full-time employment indicates a growing economy, while a negative change may suggest a weakening job market. It is often used by investors, policymakers, and analysts to assess the current state and future outlook of the labor market.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 34.4 K. Prior reading (Aug 2026): -6.3 K. Before that (Jul 2026): 16.3 K.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AUD/NZD (Bullish AUD, r=0.84) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - AU Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | AU | Import Prices QoQ | -1.1 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 0.10 | Low |
| 00:30 | AU | Export Prices QoQ | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.35 | Low |
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | AU | Private Sector Credit YoY | 8.4 | 8.4 | 8.2 | 8.32 | Low |
| 00:30 | AU | Housing Credit MoM | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.43 | Low |
| 00:30 | AU | Private Sector Credit MoM | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.57 | Low |
| 00:30 | AU | Producer Price Index QoQ | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.27 | Medium |
| 00:30 | AU | Producer Price Index YoY | 3.6 | 3.6 | 4.5 | 4.55 | Low |