Inflation Rate MOM - BD Economic Data | Sigmanomics
Bangladesh Inflation Rate MoM
Latest Release
0.36
Actual
0.3
Consensus
0.23
Previous
Bangladesh's Inflation Rate MoM rose to 0.36% in February 2026, surpassing January's 0.23% and marking the highest reading since October 2025. This increase signals renewed price pressures after two months of negative or subdued inflation. The February print above the central bank’s 0.25% target triggered higher bond yields and a mild depreciation of the Taka. Updated 3/9/26
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Inflation Rate MOM - BD
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Bangladesh's monthly inflation rate rose to 0.36% in February 2026, up from January's 0.23%. This marks the highest reading since October 2025, signaling renewed price pressures after two months of negative or subdued growth.
Bangladesh's inflation rate on a month-over-month basis accelerated in February 2026, breaking a brief spell of negative and subdued readings. The latest data offers a nuanced view of underlying price dynamics as the country navigates persistent cost pressures and evolving policy responses.
Big-Picture Snapshot
Drivers This Month
Food prices: +0.14 percentage points
Transport: +0.08pp
Utilities: +0.06pp
Clothing: +0.04pp
Healthcare: +0.02pp
Policy Pulse
Bangladesh Bank targets a 0.25% MoM inflation ceiling. February's 0.36% reading overshoots this threshold, reinforcing vigilance on price stability.
Market Lens
Bond yields edged higher on the inflation surprise. The uptick in February's MoM inflation, following January's 0.23%, prompted a modest selloff in short-term government securities. Investors recalibrated expectations for near-term monetary policy, with the Taka showing mild depreciation against major currencies.
Foundational Indicators
Historical Context
February's 0.36% MoM inflation marks the highest since October 2025's 1.05%. The 12-month average stands at 0.47%, with notable volatility: August 2025 saw a spike to 2.23%, while January 2026 recorded a contraction of -0.84%. The previous two months—December 2025 at -0.39% and January 2026 at 0.23%—reflected subdued or negative momentum.
Comparative Figures
- February 2026: 0.36%
- January 2026: 0.23%
- December 2025: -0.39%
- October 2025: 1.05%
- 12-month average: 0.47%
Methodology & Source
Data is sourced from the Sigmanomics database, reflecting official Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics releases. The MoM inflation rate measures the percentage change in the consumer price index from the previous month.
Chart Dynamics
February's 0.36% MoM inflation outpaced January's 0.23% and sits just below the 12-month average of 0.47%. This marks a reversal from the negative prints in December and January, with price momentum regaining strength. The latest reading is the highest since October 2025, when inflation reached 1.05%. Over the past six months, monthly inflation has ranged from -0.84% (January 2026) to 2.36% (September 2025), underscoring persistent volatility.
Inflation Rate MoM trend (May 2025–February 2026)
What This Chart Tells Us: Bangladesh's MoM inflation rate has swung sharply over the past year, with February's rebound signaling renewed upward pressure. The data suggests that price stability remains elusive, and the recent uptick may challenge policymakers' efforts to anchor expectations.
Forward Outlook
Scenario Analysis
Bullish (20–30%): Food and fuel prices stabilize, monthly inflation returns below 0.2% in coming months.
Base (50–60%): Inflation fluctuates between 0.2% and 0.5% MoM, mirroring recent volatility.
Upside risks include further energy price hikes and adverse weather affecting food supply. Downside risks stem from global commodity softness and tighter monetary policy.
Policy Pulse
Bangladesh Bank's inflation ceiling remains at 0.25% MoM. The latest print above target may prompt continued policy vigilance, though no immediate action has been announced.
Closing Thoughts
Market Lens
Equities traded sideways as investors weighed inflation risks against resilient consumer demand. The Taka's mild depreciation and higher bond yields reflect market sensitivity to inflation surprises. With February's reading exceeding the central bank's ceiling, market participants remain alert to further data and policy signals.
Looking Ahead
The February rebound in MoM inflation underscores the challenge of anchoring price expectations in Bangladesh. Sustained vigilance from policymakers and market actors will be crucial as the country navigates persistent cost pressures.
Key Markets Reacting to Inflation Rate MoM
Bangladesh's February inflation print has triggered notable reactions across asset classes. Fixed income markets saw yields edge up, while the Taka weakened modestly against the dollar. Global equities and crypto assets with exposure to emerging market inflation trends also responded, reflecting the interconnectedness of inflation data and capital flows.
AAPL: Sensitive to global supply chain costs and emerging market inflation signals.
EURUSD: Tracks dollar strength as emerging market inflation influences capital flows.
BTCUSD: Often viewed as a hedge during periods of rising inflation in developing economies.
Year
Inflation Rate MoM (BD)
AAPL % Change
2020
0.18%
+81%
2021
0.22%
+34%
2022
0.29%
-27%
2023
0.41%
+48%
2024
0.36%
+49%
2025
0.47%
+48%
Since 2020, AAPL's annual performance has shown a loose correlation with Bangladesh's MoM inflation trends, with stronger inflation often coinciding with higher volatility in global equities.
FAQ
What is the latest Bangladesh Inflation Rate MoM?
February 2026's MoM inflation rate for Bangladesh is 0.36%, up from January's 0.23%.
How does the February 2026 inflation reading compare to recent months?
February's 0.36% is the highest since October 2025 and reverses two months of negative or subdued inflation.
Why is the Inflation Rate MoM important for Bangladesh?
It provides a timely gauge of price momentum, guiding policy and market expectations in a volatile economic environment.
Bangladesh's February inflation rebound highlights persistent price pressures and the importance of vigilant policy response.
Updated 3/9/26
This has been drafted with AI assistance and then thoroughly reviewed, refined, and approved by our human editorial team to ensure accuracy, and originality.
Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics, Consumer Price Index releases, 2025–2026.
Economic Calendar - BD Events
Monday, March 9, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
01:00
BD
Inflation Rate YoY
9.13
8.58
8.8
8.83
Low
01:00
BD
Inflation Rate MoM
0.36
0.23
0.3
0.26
Low
Monday, February 9, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
01:30
BD
Inflation Rate MoM
0.23
-0.84
0.2
0.16
Low
01:30
BD
Inflation Rate YoY
8.58
8.49
8.7
8.73
Low
Tuesday, January 13, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
03:20
BD
Inflation Rate YoY
8.49
8.29
8.5
8.53
Low
03:20
BD
Inflation Rate MoM
-0.84
-0.39
-0.5
-0.54
Low
Symbol
Price
Analysis and Forecast
Bangladesh Inflation Rate Rises to 0.36 Percent in February The inflation rate measures the change in consumer prices from one month to the next, reflecting cost pressures in the economy. Bangladesh's inflation rate increased by 0.36% in February 2026, up from 0.23% in January, with the latest release dated March 9, 2026. This rise marks the highest monthly inflation since October 2025, signaling renewed upward momentum after a period of subdued growth. The increase suggests that price pressures are reemerging, potentially influenced by factors such as food and transport costs. Analysts at Morgan Stanley note that this rebound could prompt the Bangladesh Bank to maintain a cautious stance on monetary policy to keep inflation expectations anchored. Economist Dr. Farida Rahman commented, "The February uptick highlights ongoing volatility in price trends, underscoring the need for vigilant policy measures to ensure stability."
