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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BulgariaBulgaria Current Account climbed to -1,209M in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Bulgaria Current Account climbed to -1,209M in April 2026, released June 2026, up 237M from March's -1,446M reading. The print exceeded the -1,450M consensus by 241M. The print is running well below the 12-month average of -599.46M. Over the past 3 months, Current Account averaged -836.33M, vs -1,261.5M in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 10th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-1209
Actual
-1450
Consensus
-1446
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±476.36 million
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: -1,755
Actual: -1,209
Error: -546
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Current Account (Bulgaria) was reported at -1,209.00 million in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of -1,450.00 million by 241.00 million. The reading rose from the previous value of -1,446.00 million. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -682.51 million, ranging from -1,610.00 million to 301.60 million across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -1,182.67 million, up from the prior three at -1,195.87 million. Volatility over the past year (σ 646.89 million) is higher than the prior year (σ 555.63 million). In June readings over the past 3 years, Current Account has averaged -663.60 million.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 476.36 million.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 17, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Current Account - BG
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About Current Account — Bulgaria
DEFINITION
The Current Account is a financial indicator that measures a country's trade balance, including the value of goods and services exported and imported, as well as income received and payments made to other countries. It provides insight into a nation's economic health and its ability to pay for imports and service its debt. A positive current account balance indicates a surplus, while a negative balance indicates a deficit. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and economists as it can impact a country's currency value and overall economic stability.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual -1,209 M, consensus -1,450 M. Prior reading (Mar 2026): -1,610 M. Before that (Feb 2026): -170 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - BG Events
| Wednesday, July 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0 | 0.3 | 0.40 | Low | |
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 6.9 | 7.5 | 7.60 | Low | |