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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BulgariaBulgaria Industrial Production MoM climbed to 0.4% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Bulgaria Industrial Production MoM climbed to 0.4% in June 2026, released August 2026, up 0.6% from May's -0.2% reading. The reading matched the 0.4% consensus. Industrial Production MoM has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Industrial Production MoM averaged -2.4%, vs 1.37% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 65th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.4
Actual
0.4
Consensus
-0.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.39 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: -1.17
Actual: 0.4
Error: -1.57
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.71 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.48 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Industrial Production MoM (Bulgaria) was reported at 0.4% in August 2026. This matched the market consensus of 0.4% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.73%, ranging from -4.6% to 3.3% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -1.47%, down from the prior three at -1.33%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.03%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.41%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Industrial Production MoM has averaged -0.5%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.39%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 10, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Industrial Production MoM - BG
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About Industrial Production MoM — Bulgaria
DEFINITION
Industrial Production MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total output of the manufacturing, mining, and utilities sectors within a specific country or region over a one-month period. This indicator provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the industrial sector, which is a crucial component of a country's overall economic performance. It is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can impact inflation, employment, and consumer spending. A positive MoM change in industrial production indicates a growing economy, while a negative change may signal a slowdown or contraction.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Manufacturing and factory-order series capture cyclical inflection earlier than aggregate output, and have outsized influence on industrial-sector equities. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 0.4 %, consensus 0.4 %. Prior reading (May 2026): -0.2 %. Before that (Apr 2026): -4.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.71) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - BG Events
| Wednesday, August 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | BG | Current Account | -598 | -680 | -680.00 | Low | |