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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil Car Production MoM fell to -9.5 in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Brazil Car Production MoM fell to -9.5 in April 2026, released May 2026, down 37.1 from March's 27.6 reading. The print exceeded the -15.0 consensus by 5.5. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 1.98. Over the past 3 months, Car Production MoM averaged 26.25, vs -8.15 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 30th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-9.5
Actual
-15
Consensus
27.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±9.97 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: -10.22
Actual: 24.9
Error: -35.12
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/BRL | ▲ Direct | +0.65 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.25 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The May 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 27.6. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±9.97. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/BRL (Bullish USD) and negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR).
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Car Production MoM - BR
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Economic Calendar - BR Events
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | BR | Business Confidence | 47.2 | 45.2 | 46 | 46.60 | Medium |
| Monday, May 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | BR | IBC-BR Economic Activity | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.90 | Low | |
| Tuesday, May 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | BR | IBC-BR Economic Activity | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.90 | Low | |