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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil Car Production MoM climbed to 3.1% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Brazil Car Production MoM climbed to 3.1% in July 2026, released August 2026, up 6.1% from June's -3.0% reading. The print exceeded the 2.8% consensus by 0.3%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -0.34%. Over the past 3 months, Car Production MoM averaged 1.65%, vs 14.33% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 70th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
3.1
Actual
2.8
Consensus
-3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±7.27 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 5.75
Actual: 3.1
Error: +2.65
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Car Production MoM (Brazil) was reported at 3.1% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 2.8% by 0.3%. The reading rose from the previous value of -3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.63%, ranging from -15.8% to 24.9% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2.13%, up from the prior three at -1.47%. Volatility over the past year (σ 11.2%) is lower than the prior year (σ 12.95%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Car Production MoM has averaged 11.9%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 7.27%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 9, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Aug 27) and Gross Domestic Product MoM (Aug 28).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Car Production MoM - BR
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About Car Production MoM — Brazil
DEFINITION
Car Production MoM is a financial indicator that measures the month-over-month change in the total number of cars produced by a country's automotive industry. This indicator provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the automotive sector, which is a key driver of economic activity and employment. It is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and industry analysts as a barometer of overall economic performance and consumer demand. A positive trend in Car Production MoM indicates a strong and expanding automotive industry, while a negative trend may signal a slowdown or contraction in the sector.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 3.1 %, consensus 2.8 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): -3 %. Before that (May 2026): 6.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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