Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil Foreign Direct Investment fell to 7.46B in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Brazil Foreign Direct Investment fell to 7.46B in July 2026, released August 2026, down 1.61B from June's 9.07B reading. The reading missed the 7.9B consensus by 0.44B. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 7.02B. The reading is in the 59th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
7.46
Actual
7.9
Consensus
9.07
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.41 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 9.94
Actual: 7.46
Error: +2.48
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.49 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.44 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.41 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Foreign Direct Investment (Brazil) was reported at 7.46 billion in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of 7.90 billion by 0.44 billion. The reading fell from the previous value of 9.07 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 7.45 billion, ranging from -5.25 billion to 10.94 billion across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 8.48 billion, up from the prior three at 3.22 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 4.42 billion) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.91 billion). In August readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Direct Investment has averaged 7.69 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.41 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 28, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Retail Sales MoM (Sep 15) and Retail Sales MoM (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
SHARE
Foreign Direct Investment - BR
Loading chart data...
About Foreign Direct Investment — Brazil
DEFINITION
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is a financial indicator that measures the amount of capital invested by a foreign entity into a domestic economy. It is a key measure of a country's attractiveness to foreign investors and can have a significant impact on economic growth, job creation, and technological advancement. FDI is often used as a gauge of a country's openness to international trade and its ability to attract and retain foreign capital. This indicator is closely monitored by governments, businesses, and investors as it provides valuable insights into the overall health and competitiveness of a country's economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 7.46 B, consensus 7.9 B. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 9.07 B. Before that (Apr 2026): 8.91 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR, r=-0.49) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - BR Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | BR | Business Confidence | 44.9 | 46.3 | 45.7 | 45.55 | Medium |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | BR | Retail Sales MoM | 0.5 | -0.2 | -0.65 | Medium | |
| 12:00 | BR | Retail Sales YoY | 2.9 | 2.2 | 1.70 | Low | |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | BR | IBC-BR Economic Activity | -0.6 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Low | |
| 21:30 | BR | Interest Rate Decision | 14 | 13.75 | 13.75 | Medium | |