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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil Foreign Direct Investment climbed to 11.29B in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Brazil Foreign Direct Investment climbed to 11.29B in September 2026, released October 2026, up 3.89B from August's 7.4B reading. The print exceeded the 6.5B consensus by 4.79B. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 7.33B. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Direct Investment averaged 7.43B, vs 8.99B in the prior 3-month window. Foreign Direct Investment is now the highest in 37 months.
Latest Release
11.29
Actual
6.5
Consensus
7.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.41 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 7.19
Actual: 11.29
Error: -4.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.62 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.42 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Foreign Direct Investment (Brazil) was reported at 11.29 billion in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 6.50 billion by 4.79 billion. The reading rose from the previous value of 7.40 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 7.46 billion, ranging from -5.25 billion to 11.29 billion across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 8.72 billion, up from the prior three at 8.24 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 4.47 billion) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.38 billion). In October readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Direct Investment has averaged 9.06 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.41 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 25, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Gross Domestic Product MoM (Oct 30) and Unemployment Rate (Oct 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Foreign Direct Investment - BR
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About Foreign Direct Investment — Brazil
DEFINITION
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is a financial indicator that measures the amount of capital invested by a foreign entity into a domestic economy. It is a key measure of a country's attractiveness to foreign investors and can have a significant impact on economic growth, job creation, and technological advancement. FDI is often used as a gauge of a country's openness to international trade and its ability to attract and retain foreign capital. This indicator is closely monitored by governments, businesses, and investors as it provides valuable insights into the overall health and competitiveness of a country's economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 11.29 B, consensus 6.5 B. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 7.4 B. Before that (Jul 2026): 7.46 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR, r=-0.62) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - BR Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | BR | IGP-M Inflation MoM | 1.47 | 1.57 | 1.6 | 1.54 | Low |
| 11:30 | BR | Bank Lending MoM | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.70 | Low |
| 17:00 | BR | Gross Debt to GDP | 82.9 | 82.9 | 83.5 | 83.37 | Low |
| 18:30 | BR | Gross Debt to GDP | 82.9 | 82.9 | 83.5 | 83.37 | Low |