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Brazil GDP Growth Rate YoY held to 1.8 in October 2025, released March 2026. The print exceeded the 1.5 consensus by 0.3. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 2.81. GDP Growth Rate YoY is now the lowest in 42 months.
across last 12 releases
Mar 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/BRL | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bullish BRL | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The March 2026 reading was unchanged from the previous value of 1.8. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.2. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/BRL (Bullish BRL) and positively correlated with EUR/USD (Watch).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | Business Confidence | 47.2 | 45.2 | 46 | 46.60 | Medium | |
| Monday, May 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | IBC-BR Economic Activity | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.90 | Low | ||