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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil GDP Growth Rate YoY held to 1.8 in October 2025
FMPQuarterlyReleased March 2026
Brazil GDP Growth Rate YoY held to 1.8 in October 2025, released March 2026. The print exceeded the 1.5 consensus by 0.3. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 2.81. GDP Growth Rate YoY is now the lowest in 42 months.
Latest Release
1.8
Actual
1.5
Consensus
1.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.2 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 1.55
Actual: 1.8
Error: -0.25
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/BRL | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bullish BRL | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The March 2026 reading was unchanged from the previous value of 1.8. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.2. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/BRL (Bullish BRL) and positively correlated with EUR/USD (Watch).
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GDP Growth Rate YoY - BR
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