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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil Industrial Production MoM climbed to 0.7% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Brazil Industrial Production MoM climbed to 0.7% in April 2026, released June 2026, up 0.4% from March's 0.3% reading. The print exceeded the 0.4% consensus by 0.3%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.27%. Over the past 3 months, Industrial Production MoM averaged 0.93%, vs -0.6% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 70th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.7
Actual
0.4
Consensus
0.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.39 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 1.08
Actual: 0.7
Error: +0.38
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Industrial Production MoM (Brazil) was reported at 0.7% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.4% by 0.3%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.26%, ranging from -1.2% to 1.8% across 10 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 1.13%, up from the prior three at -0.37%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.79%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.41%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Industrial Production MoM has averaged 0.1%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.39%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 2, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Jun 17) and CFTC BRL speculative net positions (Jun 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Industrial Production MoM - BR
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About Industrial Production MoM — Brazil
DEFINITION
Industrial Production MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total output of the manufacturing, mining, and utilities sectors within a specific country or region over a one-month period. This indicator provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the industrial sector, which is a crucial component of a country's overall economic performance. It is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can impact inflation, employment, and consumer spending. A positive MoM change in industrial production indicates a growing economy, while a negative change may signal a slowdown or contraction.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Manufacturing and factory-order series capture cyclical inflection earlier than aggregate output, and have outsized influence on industrial-sector equities. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 0.7 %, consensus 0.4 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 0.1 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 0.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.54) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.