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Brazil Industrial Production YoY climbed to 4.3 in March 2026, released May 2026, up 5.0 from February's -0.7 reading. The print exceeded the 3.5 consensus by 0.8. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.23. Over the past 3 months, Industrial Production YoY averaged -0.25, vs -0.43 in the prior 3-month window. Industrial Production YoY is now the highest in 16 months.
across last 12 releases
Apr 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.49 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
| USD/BRL | ▲ Direct | +0.48 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.39 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| Bovespa | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | INDEX | Bearish Bovespa | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The May 2026 reading rose from the previous value of -0.7. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.73. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500) and positively correlated with USD/BRL (Bullish USD).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | Business Confidence | 47.2 | 45.2 | 46 | 46.60 | Medium | |
| Monday, May 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | IBC-BR Economic Activity | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.90 | Low | ||
| Tuesday, May 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | IBC-BR Economic Activity | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.90 | Low | ||