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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil Industrial Production YoY climbed to 4.3 in March 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Brazil Industrial Production YoY climbed to 4.3 in March 2026, released May 2026, up 5.0 from February's -0.7 reading. The print exceeded the 3.5 consensus by 0.8. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.23. Over the past 3 months, Industrial Production YoY averaged -0.25, vs -0.43 in the prior 3-month window. Industrial Production YoY is now the highest in 16 months.
Latest Release
4.3
Actual
3.5
Consensus
-0.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.73 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Apr 2026
Predicted: -0.9
Actual: -0.7
Error: -0.2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.49 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
| USD/BRL | ▲ Direct | +0.48 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.39 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| Bovespa | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | INDEX | Bearish Bovespa | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The May 2026 reading rose from the previous value of -0.7. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.73. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500) and positively correlated with USD/BRL (Bullish USD).
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Industrial Production YoY - BR
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