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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 1.99% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Brazil Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 1.99% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 0.92% from April's 1.07% reading. The reading missed the 2.8% consensus by 0.81%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged -0.24%, vs -4.18% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 9 months.
Latest Release
1.99
Actual
2.8
Consensus
1.07
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.66 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 3.93
Actual: 1.99
Error: +1.94
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Brazil) was reported at 1.99% in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 2.8% by 0.81%. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.07%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -1.04%, ranging from -4.53% to 3.24% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -0.47%, up from the prior three at -4.08%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.66%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - BR
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Brazil
DEFINITION
Brazil's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 1.990000% in June, beating the 2.800000% estimate and up from May's 1.070000%. This marks a continued upward trend after several months of negative readings earlier in the year, signaling easing deflationary pressures. Market focus remains on how this shift will influence central bank policy amid evolving inflation dynamics. Updated 7/2/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 1.99 %, consensus 2.8 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 1.07 %. Before that (Mar 2026): -1.54 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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