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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 2.51% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Brazil Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 2.51% in June 2026, released July 2026, up 0.51% from May's 2.0% reading. The reading matched the 2.5% consensus. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 5 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 1.53%, vs -3.72% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 10 months.
Latest Release
2.51
Actual
2.5
Consensus
2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.66 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 3.93
Actual: 1.99
Error: +1.94
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Brazil) was reported at 2.51% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 2.5% by 0.01%. The reading rose from the previous value of 2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -1.04%, ranging from -4.53% to 3.24% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -0.47%, up from the prior three at -4.08%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.66%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 28, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Industrial Production MoM (Aug 4) and S&P Global Services PMI (Aug 5).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - BR
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Brazil
DEFINITION
Brazil's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 2.51% in July, slightly above the 2.50% estimate and up from June's 1.99%. This marks a continued acceleration in producer inflation after a steady increase since May's 1.07%. The data supports a cautious central bank stance amid rising cost pressures. Updated 7/31/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 2.51 %, consensus 2.5 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 1.99 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 1.07 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - BR Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:30 | BR | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 81.9 | 81.1 | 81.5 | 81.70 | Medium |
| 11:30 | BR | Nominal Budget Balance | -166 | -163.679 | -133.2 | -149.60 | Low |
| 11:30 | BR | Budget Balance | -166 | -163.679 | -133.2 | -149.60 | Low |
| 11:30 | BR | Gross Debt to GDP | 81.9 | 81.1 | 81.5 | 81.70 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | Producer Price Index YoY | 2.51 | 2 | 2.5 | 2.50 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | Producer Price Index MoM | -0.77 | -0.3 | 0.5 | -0.14 | Low |
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | BR | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 50.8 | 49.7 | 51.25 | Low | |
| Tuesday, August 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BR | IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM | 0.18 | 0.4 | 0.10 | Low | |
| 12:00 | BR | Industrial Production MoM | -0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | |
| 12:00 | BR | Industrial Production YoY | 0.2 | -0.8 | -0.80 | Low | |