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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BotswanaBotswana Interest Rate Decision climbed to 5.5% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased April 2026
Botswana Interest Rate Decision climbed to 5.5% in April 2026, up 2.0% from March's 3.5% reading. The print exceeded the 3.5% consensus by 2.0%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 2.43%. Interest Rate Decision is now the highest in 30 months.
Latest Release
5.5
Actual
3.5
Consensus
3.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Feb 2026
Predicted: 3.5
Actual: 3.5
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.82 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.80 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.75 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Interest Rate Decision (Botswana) was reported at 5.5% in April 2026. This beat the market consensus of 3.5% by 2%. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through February 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.5%, up from the prior three at 1.9%. In February readings over the past 3 years, Interest Rate Decision has averaged 2.6%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 18, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2026.
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Interest Rate Decision - BW
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About Interest Rate Decision — Botswana
DEFINITION
The Interest Rate Decision is a key financial indicator that reflects the decision made by a central bank or monetary authority to either increase, decrease, or maintain the current interest rates. This decision has a significant impact on the economy, as it affects the cost of borrowing money, inflation rates, and overall economic growth. Investors and businesses closely monitor interest rate decisions as they can have a significant impact on financial markets and investment strategies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Policy-rate decisions and associated communication are the primary near-term driver of front-end rates, currencies, and equity-discount-rate inputs. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 5.5 %, consensus 3.5 %. Prior reading (Feb 2026): 3.5 %. Before that (Dec 2025): 3.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP, r=-0.82) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.