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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BelarusBelarus Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 2.0% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Belarus Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 2.0% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 0.1% from August's 1.9% reading. The print exceeded the 1.9% consensus by 0.1%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.77%. Over the past 3 months, Gross Domestic Product YoY averaged 2.0%, vs 0.87% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 66th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
2
Actual
1.9
Consensus
1.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.28 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 2.05
Actual: 2
Error: +0.05
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.52 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.41 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Belarus) was reported at 2% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1.9% by 0.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.94%, ranging from -1.2% to 2.1% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2%, up from the prior three at 0.87%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.13%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.78%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bearish USD). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.28%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 17, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - BY
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Belarus
DEFINITION
Belarus's Gross Domestic Product YoY rose to 2.000000% in September from August's 1.9%, beating the 1.9% estimate. This marks a continued acceleration following August's 2.1% peak and July's 1.5%, signaling steady economic expansion. Market focus remains on upcoming data releases and central bank policy adjustments amid this growth trend. Updated 10/19/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 2 %, consensus 1.9 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 1.9 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 2.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bearish USD, r=-0.52) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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