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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BelarusBelarus Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 0.2% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Belarus Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 0.2% in April 2026, released May 2026, up 0.6% from March's -0.4% reading. The print exceeded the 0.1% consensus by 0.1%. Gross Domestic Product YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Gross Domestic Product YoY averaged -0.93%, vs 1.3% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 18th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.2
Actual
0.1
Consensus
-0.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.29 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: -0.58
Actual: 0.2
Error: -0.78
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.49 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.41 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.25 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Belarus) was reported at 0.2% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.1% by 0.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.05%, ranging from -1.2% to 2.5% across 12 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.73%, down from the prior three at 1.37%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.29%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Belarus
DEFINITION
Belarus's Gross Domestic Product YoY rose to 0.200000% in April, beating the 0.100000% estimate and reversing the previous -0.400000% contraction. April's 0.2% growth contrasts with March's -0.4%, signaling a return to positive economic expansion. Market focus will shift to upcoming data releases for confirmation of this recovery trend. Updated 5/18/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 0.2 %, consensus 0.1 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): -0.4 %. Before that (Feb 2026): -1.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.49) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.