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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BelarusBelarus Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 2.1% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Belarus Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 2.1% in July 2026, released August 2026, up 0.6% from June's 1.5% reading. The print exceeded the 1.6% consensus by 0.5%. Gross Domestic Product YoY has now risen for 6 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Gross Domestic Product YoY averaged 1.2%, vs -0.47% in the prior 3-month window. Gross Domestic Product YoY is now the highest in 13 months.
Latest Release
2.1
Actual
1.6
Consensus
1.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.36 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 1.13
Actual: 1.5
Error: -0.38
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.52 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.39 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Belarus) was reported at 2.1% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1.6% by 0.5%. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.83%, ranging from -1.2% to 1.6% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.87%, up from the prior three at -0.37%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.03%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.72%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.36%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - BY
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Belarus
DEFINITION
Belarus's Gross Domestic Product YoY rose to 2.100000% in July, beating the 1.600000% estimate and up from June's 1.500000%. This marks a continued acceleration in economic growth after several months of modest gains and contractions earlier in the year. Market focus will remain on upcoming data releases to assess if this momentum sustains amid evolving economic conditions. Updated 8/18/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 2.1 %, consensus 1.6 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 1.5 %. Before that (May 2026): 0.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.52) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - BY Events
| Tuesday, August 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:20 | BY | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.85 | Low |