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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
CanadaCanada Core Inflation Rate MoM fell to 0.2 in March 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased April 2026
Canada Core Inflation Rate MoM fell to 0.2 in March 2026, released April 2026, down 0.2 from February's 0.4 reading. The print came in cooler than the 0.3 consensus, a softer print than forecasters anticipated. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 0.1. Over the past 3 months, Core Inflation Rate MoM averaged 0.3, vs 0.03 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 54th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.2
Actual
0.3
Consensus
0.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.2 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 0.05
Actual: 0.4
Error: -0.35
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
The April 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 0.4. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.2. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU).
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Core Inflation Rate MoM - CA
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Economic Calendar - CA Events
| Thursday, May 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | CA | New Motor Vehicle Sales | 176.5 | 124 | 119 | 147.75 | Low |
| 12:30 | CA | Wholesale Sales MoM | 1.9 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.50 | Low |
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:15 | CA | Housing Starts | 279.3 | 239.7 | 240 | 240.57 | Medium |
| 12:30 | CA | Foreign Securities Purchases | 4.62 | 5.84 | 11.4 | 4.75 | Low |
| 12:30 | CA | Manufacturing Sales MoM | 3 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.40 | Low |