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Canada Core Inflation Rate MoM fell to 0.2 in March 2026, released April 2026, down 0.2 from February's 0.4 reading. The print came in cooler than the 0.3 consensus, a softer print than forecasters anticipated. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 0.1. Over the past 3 months, Core Inflation Rate MoM averaged 0.3, vs 0.03 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 54th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
across last 12 releases
Mar 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
The April 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 0.4. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.2. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Thursday, May 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | New Motor Vehicle Sales | 176.5 | 124 | 119 | 147.75 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Wholesale Sales MoM | 1.9 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.50 | Low | |
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:15 | Housing Starts | 279.3 | 239.7 | 240 | 240.57 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Foreign Securities Purchases | 4.62 | 5.84 | 11.4 | 4.75 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Manufacturing Sales MoM | 3 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.40 | Low | |