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Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.
Sigmacast expected range ± 0.3–0.5% · 7–28-day calibrated zone
Last Updated: 6/15/26
recent path character per horizon · descriptive, not a forecast
Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index (r=+0.86), Leading Index MoM (r=+0.83), Goods Trade Balance (r=+0.79), ISM Services Prices (r=+0.78), Import Prices MoM (r=+0.77), Non Farm Payrolls (r=+0.74)
Inversely correlated: Balance of Trade (r=-0.88), Foreign Securities Purchases by Canadians (r=-0.73)
As of June 17, 2026, USD/CAD is trading at 1.4018. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this forex pair generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
recently sideways · ER 0.53 · trailing 14d · descriptive, not a forecast
Cone = how far price could move from HERE — not a corridor; direction not predicted.
The 60% edge is the invalidation level — a break ≈ a recent-character change.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
The USD/CAD forex pair tracks the exchange rate between the US Dollar and the Canadian Dollar. The USD/CAD pair closed at 1.4018 on June 17, 2026, reflecting a gain of 0.10% from the previous close of 1.4004.
Over the past 30 days, the pair has experienced a modest uptrend with a rally of 1.84%, ranging between 1.3733 and 1.4023. The price currently trades above its 20-day moving average of 1.3919. The 14-day RSI stands at 72.3, in overbought territory, suggesting potential reversal pressure. Among macroeconomic indicators in our coverage, Balance Of Trade shows the strongest historical relationship with this instrument, negatively correlated (r = -0.88) aligned with a bearish bias.
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 0.17%, reflecting subdued price variability for this pair. Across the past 52 weeks, the pair has traded between 1.3482 and 1.4140, with the current price near the high end of that range.
Daily-return volatility of 0.17% is subdued for this pair, leaving recent ranges compressed — watch for a decisive break of the band as the more telling development. USD/CAD is currently trading 0.71% above its 20-day moving average and sitting in the upper portion of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 72.3, currently in overbought territory. For cross-confirmation, the Balance Of Trade indicator carries the strongest historical correlation with USD/CAD (r = -0.88) and is worth watching for context.
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Jun 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.