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Canada Current Account climbed to -0.7 in October 2025, released February 2026, up 4.6 from September's -5.3 reading. The print exceeded the -5 consensus by 4.3. Current Account has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Current Account is now the highest in 39 months.
across last 12 releases
Feb 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CAD | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bullish CAD | → View |
| CAD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Bullish CAD | → View |
| WTI Crude | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| EUR/CAD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | FOREX | Bullish CAD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The February 2026 reading rose from the previous value of -5.3. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±2.64. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/CAD (Bullish CAD) and positively correlated with CAD/JPY (Bullish CAD).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:15 | Housing Starts | 279.3 | 239.7 | 240 | 240.57 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Foreign Securities Purchases | 4.62 | 5.84 | 11.4 | 4.75 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Manufacturing Sales MoM | 3 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.40 | Low | |
| Tuesday, May 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.70 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Building Permits MoM | -8.4 | 4 | 4.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.50 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | CPI YoY | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.60 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.20 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | New Housing Price Index MoM | -0.2 | 0 | 0.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.50 | High | ||