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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
CanadaCanada Exports climbed to 77.91B in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Canada Exports climbed to 77.91B in August 2026, released October 2026, up 1.88B from July's 76.03B reading. The reading matched the 77.3B consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 68.64B. Over the past 3 months, Exports averaged 76.82B, vs 75.01B in the prior 3-month window. Exports is now the highest in 38 months.
Latest Release
77.91
Actual
77.3
Consensus
76.03
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.29 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 77.71
Actual: 77.91
Error: -0.2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Exports (Canada) was reported at 77.91 billion in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 77.30 billion by 0.61 billion. The reading rose from the previous value of 76.03 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 70.64 billion, ranging from 62.48 billion to 77.91 billion across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 77.18 billion, up from the prior three at 72.86 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 6.24 billion) is higher than the prior year (σ 4.45 billion). In October readings over the past 3 years, Exports has averaged 67.60 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.29 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 4, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Gross Domestic Product MoM (Oct 30) and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Exports - CA
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About Exports — Canada
DEFINITION
Exports refer to the goods and services that a country produces and sells to other countries. This financial indicator is used to measure the strength of a country's economy and its international trade relationships. A high level of exports can indicate a healthy economy and a competitive market, while a decrease in exports may signal a decline in economic activity. This information is important for businesses, investors, and policymakers to make informed decisions about trade and economic policies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 77.91 M, consensus 77.3 M. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 76.14 M. Before that (Jun 2026): 77.49 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.61) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - CA Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | CA | Average Weekly Earnings | 3.7 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.45 | Low |