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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
CanadaCanada Foreign Securities Purchases fell to 7.9B in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Canada Foreign Securities Purchases fell to 7.9B in May 2026, released July 2026, down 39.01B from April's 46.91B reading. The reading missed the 15.21B consensus by 7.31B. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 20.31B. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Securities Purchases averaged 25.76B, vs 15.78B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 40th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
7.9
Actual
15.21
Consensus
46.91
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±17.52 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 23.2
Actual: 7.9
Error: +15.3
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| S&P/TSX Composite | ▼ Inverse | −0.41 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/CAD | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.31 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Foreign Securities Purchases (Canada) was reported at 7.90 billion in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 15.21 billion by 7.31 billion. The reading fell from the previous value of 46.91 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 22.56 billion, ranging from -5.57 billion to 46.91 billion across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 19.81 billion, up from the prior three at 19.16 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 18.35 billion) is higher than the prior year (σ 11.35 billion). In July readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Securities Purchases has averaged 8.67 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with S&P/TSX Composite, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 17.52 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 17, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Balance of Trade (Aug 4) and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Aug 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Foreign Securities Purchases - CA
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About Foreign Securities Purchases — Canada
DEFINITION
Foreign Securities Purchases is a financial indicator that measures the amount of securities, such as stocks and bonds, purchased by foreign investors in a particular country. This indicator is used to assess the level of foreign investment in a country's financial markets and can provide insight into the overall health and stability of the economy. It is an important metric for policymakers and investors to track in order to understand the flow of capital and potential impact on the local economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 7.9 B, consensus 15.21 B. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 46.91 B. Before that (Mar 2026): 4.62 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.43) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - CA Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | CA | Average Weekly Earnings | 3.4 | 3.67 | 3.7 | 3.55 | Low |