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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
CanadaCanada Foreign Securities Purchases climbed to 40.83B in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Canada Foreign Securities Purchases climbed to 40.83B in June 2026, released August 2026, up 32.03B from May's 8.8B reading. The print exceeded the 15B consensus by 25.83B. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 21.2B. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Securities Purchases averaged 27.4B, vs 19.17B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 85th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
40.83
Actual
15
Consensus
8.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±18.85 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 22.86
Actual: 40.83
Error: -17.97
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.43 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P/TSX Composite | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.32 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Foreign Securities Purchases (Canada) was reported at 40.83 billion in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 15.00 billion by 25.83 billion. The reading rose from the previous value of 8.80 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 26.21 billion, ranging from -5.57 billion to 46.91 billion across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 31.88 billion, up from the prior three at 15.26 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 17.62 billion) is higher than the prior year (σ 11.50 billion). In August readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Securities Purchases has averaged 15.57 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with CAD/JPY (Bullish CAD). A secondary relationship exists with S&P/TSX Composite, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 18.85 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 17, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Housing Starts (Sep 16) and New Housing Price Index MoM (Sep 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Foreign Securities Purchases - CA
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About Foreign Securities Purchases — Canada
DEFINITION
Foreign Securities Purchases is a financial indicator that measures the amount of securities, such as stocks and bonds, purchased by foreign investors in a particular country. This indicator is used to assess the level of foreign investment in a country's financial markets and can provide insight into the overall health and stability of the economy. It is an important metric for policymakers and investors to track in order to understand the flow of capital and potential impact on the local economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 40.83 B, consensus 15 B. Prior reading (May 2026): 7.9 B. Before that (Apr 2026): 46.91 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with CAD/JPY (Bullish CAD, r=0.43) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Σ
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Economic Calendar - CA Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | CA | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.15 | Low |
| 12:30 | CA | Common CPI YoY | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.65 | High |
| 12:30 | CA | Median CPI YoY | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2.00 | High |
| 12:30 | CA | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.1 | 0.5 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Medium |
| 12:30 | CA | Trimmed CPI YoY | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.90 | High |
| 12:30 | CA | Capacity Utilization | 80.7 | 82.2 | 82.4 | 81.55 | Low |
| 12:30 | CA | Inflation Rate YoY | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | High |
| 12:30 | CA | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.35 | Medium |
| 12:30 | CA | CPI YoY | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Low |
| 12:30 | CA | Manufacturing Sales MoM | -0.4 | 0.1 | -0.2 | -0.32 | Low |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | CA | New Motor Vehicle Sales | 190.2 | 190.1 | 190.10 | Low | |
| 12:30 | CA | Wholesale Sales MoM | -0.6 | 2.8 | -0.6 | -0.47 | Low |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:15 | CA | Housing Starts | 229.1 | 237.5 | 240.65 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | CA | Building Permits MoM | 18.5 | -5.8 | -5.80 | Low | |