Loading page content
Data from Statistics Canada. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
CanadaCanada Full Time Employment Chg fell to 0.6K in June 2026
Statistics CanadaMonthlyReleased July 2026
Canada Full Time Employment Chg fell to 0.6K in June 2026, released July 2026, down 153.4K from May's 154K reading. The print exceeded the -15K consensus by 15.6K. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 16.98K. Over the past 3 months, Full Time Employment Chg averaged 53.65K, vs -21.53K in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 41st percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.6
Actual
-15
Consensus
154
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±56.17 thousand
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 44.5
Actual: 0.6
Error: +43.9
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.52 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| AUD/CAD | ▼ Inverse | −0.46 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Full Time Employment Chg (Canada) was reported at 1 thousand in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of -15 thousand by 16 thousand. The reading fell from the previous value of 154 thousand. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 20 thousand, ranging from -108 thousand to 154 thousand across 9 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 15 thousand, down from the prior three at 29 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 75 thousand) is higher than the prior year (σ 47 thousand). In July readings over the past 3 years, Full Time Employment Chg has averaged 4 thousand.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/CAD, negatively correlated (Bearish AUD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 56 thousand.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Balance of Trade (Aug 4) and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Aug 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
SHARE
Full Time Employment Chg - CA
Loading chart data...
About Full Time Employment Chg — Canada
DEFINITION
Full Time Employment Chg is a financial indicator that measures the change in the number of individuals who are employed full-time within a given period. This indicator provides valuable insights into the strength of the job market and the overall health of the economy. A positive change in full-time employment indicates a growing economy, while a negative change may suggest a weakening job market. It is often used by investors, policymakers, and analysts to assess the current state and future outlook of the labor market.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 0.6 K, consensus -15 K. Prior reading (May 2026): 154 K. Before that (Apr 2026): -46.7 K.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR, r=-0.52) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - CA Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | CA | Average Weekly Earnings | 3.4 | 3.67 | 3.7 | 3.55 | Low |