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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
CanadaCanada Raw Materials Prices YoY climbed to 27.0% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Canada Raw Materials Prices YoY climbed to 27.0% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 4.1% from August's 22.9% reading. The print exceeded the 24.0% consensus by 3.0%. Raw Materials Prices YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Raw Materials Prices YoY averaged 20.45%, vs 28.57% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 89th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
27
Actual
24
Consensus
22.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.88 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 23.85
Actual: 27
Error: -3.15
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Raw Materials Prices YoY (Canada) was reported at 27% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 24% by 3%. The reading rose from the previous value of 22.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 18.24%, ranging from 5.8% to 33.4% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 22.63%, down from the prior three at 28.57%. Volatility over the past year (σ 10.02%) is higher than the prior year (σ 5.03%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Raw Materials Prices YoY has averaged 8.87%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.88%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 19, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov 2) and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Raw Materials Prices YoY - CA
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About Raw Materials Prices YoY — Canada
DEFINITION
Raw Materials Prices YoY (Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the prices of raw materials over a 12-month period. This indicator is used by investors and analysts to track the overall trend in the cost of raw materials, which can have a significant impact on the profitability and competitiveness of companies in various industries. A higher YoY increase in raw material prices may indicate inflationary pressures and potential cost increases for businesses, while a decrease may suggest deflationary conditions and potential cost savings. Overall, Raw Materials Prices YoY provides valuable insights into the health of the economy and the potential risks and opportunities for businesses.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 27 %, consensus 24 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 22.8 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 18.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - CA Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | CA | Average Weekly Earnings | 3.7 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.45 | Low |