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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ChileChile Exports fell to 9,540M in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Chile Exports fell to 9,540M in May 2026, released June 2026, down 178M from April's 9,718M reading. The reading matched the 9,620M consensus. Exports has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Exports averaged 8,390.33M, vs 10,349.67M in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 77th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
9540
Actual
9620
Consensus
9718
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±791.63 million
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 9,620
Actual: 9,540
Error: +80
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.75 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.25 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Exports (Chile) was reported at 9,540.00 million in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 9,620.00 million by 80.00 million. The reading fell from the previous value of 9,718.00 million. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 9,090.00 million, ranging from 7,857.00 million to 11,286.00 million across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 9,767.67 million, up from the prior three at 9,405.33 million. Volatility over the past year (σ 1,125.10 million) is higher than the prior year (σ 751.10 million). In June readings over the past 3 years, Exports has averaged 8,707.00 million.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 791.63 million.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 7, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Exports - CL
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About Exports — Chile
DEFINITION
Exports refer to the goods and services that a country produces and sells to other countries. This financial indicator is used to measure the strength of a country's economy and its international trade relationships. A high level of exports can indicate a healthy economy and a competitive market, while a decrease in exports may signal a decline in economic activity. This information is important for businesses, investors, and policymakers to make informed decisions about trade and economic policies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 9,540 M, consensus 9,620 M. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 9,718 M. Before that (Mar 2026): 10,291 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.75) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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