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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ChileChile IMACEC Economic Activity YoY climbed to 2.4% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Chile IMACEC Economic Activity YoY climbed to 2.4% in June 2026, released August 2026, up 3.3% from May's -0.9% reading. The print exceeded the 1.5% consensus by 0.9%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.21%. IMACEC Economic Activity YoY is now the highest in 8 months.
Latest Release
2.4
Actual
1.5
Consensus
-0.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.24 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 1.2
Actual: 2.4
Error: -1.2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.57 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
IMACEC Economic Activity YoY (Chile) was reported at 2.4% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1.5% by 0.9%. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.07%, ranging from -1.2% to 3.2% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.3%, down from the prior three at 0.93%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.36%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.72%). In August readings over the past 3 years, IMACEC Economic Activity YoY has averaged 1.87%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.24%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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IMACEC Economic Activity YoY - CL
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About IMACEC Economic Activity YoY — Chile
DEFINITION
IMACEC Economic Activity YoY is a key financial indicator used to measure the year-over-year change in economic activity in Chile. It is calculated by the Chilean Central Bank and provides valuable insights into the overall health and growth of the country's economy. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses as it can help inform decisions related to investments, monetary policies, and market trends. A positive YoY change in IMACEC indicates a growing economy, while a negative change may signal a slowdown or contraction. Overall, IMACEC Economic Activity YoY is a crucial tool for understanding and analyzing the economic performance of Chile.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 2.4 %, consensus 1.5 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): -1.2 %. Before that (Mar 2026): -0.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.57) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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