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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ChileChile Producer Price Index YoY fell to 19.7% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Chile Producer Price Index YoY fell to 19.7% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 0.8% from May's 20.5% reading. The print exceeded the 18.4% consensus by 1.3%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 17 months.
Latest Release
19.7
Actual
18.4
Consensus
20.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.63 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 18.75
Actual: 19.7
Error: -0.95
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Chile) was reported at 19.7% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 18.4% by 1.3%. The reading fell from the previous value of 20.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 11.9%, ranging from 5.6% to 19.7% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 16.77%, up from the prior three at 10.93%. Volatility over the past year (σ 4.33%) is higher than the prior year (σ 3.87%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.63%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 24, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - CL
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Chile
DEFINITION
Chile's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 19.700000% in June, beating the 18.400000% estimate but down from May's 20.500000%. The data shows a deceleration in producer price inflation compared to the previous month, indicating easing cost pressures. Market focus now shifts to upcoming inflation reports and central bank policy decisions amid this moderation. Updated 7/26/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 19.7 %, consensus 18.4 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 17.7 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 14.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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