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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ChileChile Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 24.8% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Chile Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 24.8% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 1.2% from August's 23.6% reading. The reading matched the 26.0% consensus. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 7 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 22.05%, vs 18.7% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 20 months.
Latest Release
24.8
Actual
26
Consensus
23.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.49 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 27.03
Actual: 24.8
Error: +2.22
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Chile) was reported at 24.8% in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 26% by 1.2%. The reading rose from the previous value of 23.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 16.89%, ranging from 8.9% to 24.8% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 22.97%, up from the prior three at 16.77%. Volatility over the past year (σ 5.46%) is higher than the prior year (σ 3.46%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.49%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 24, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - CL
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Chile
DEFINITION
Chile's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 24.800% in October, missing the 26.000% estimate but up from September's 23.600%. The increase signals continued inflationary pressure in producer prices, maintaining an upward trend since mid-2026. Market participants will watch upcoming inflation data closely as the central bank maintains a cautious stance. Updated 10/23/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 24.8 %, consensus 26 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 23.6 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 20.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - CL Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:30 | CL | Economic Activity YoY | -1 | -2 | -1.55 | Low | |