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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ColombiaColombia Consumer Confidence fell to 13.7% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Colombia Consumer Confidence fell to 13.7% in April 2026, released May 2026, down 5.6% from March's 19.3% reading. The reading missed the 19.0% consensus by 5.3%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 12.03%. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged 17.4%, vs 18.37% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 76th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
13.7
Actual
19
Consensus
19.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±4.91 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 19
Actual: 13.7
Error: +5.3
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.46 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.37 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Colombia) was reported at 13.7% in May 2026. This missed the market consensus of 19% by 5.3%. The reading fell from the previous value of 19.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 10.74%, ranging from -2.4% to 19.9% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 16.73%, down from the prior three at 16.83%. Volatility over the past year (σ 7.82%) is higher than the prior year (σ 4.72%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged -2.1%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 4.91%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 17, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - CO
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About Consumer Confidence — Colombia
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 13.7 %, consensus 19 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 13.7 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 19.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.46) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.