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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ColombiaColombia Consumer Confidence fell to 20.7% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Colombia Consumer Confidence fell to 20.7% in July 2026, released August 2026, down 3.6% from June's 24.3% reading. The reading missed the 24.0% consensus by 3.3%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 16.31%. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged 21.05%, vs 16.66% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 95th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
20.7
Actual
24
Consensus
24.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±5.44 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 26.28
Actual: 20.7
Error: +5.57
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.62 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.54 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Colombia) was reported at 20.7% in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of 24% by 3.3%. The reading fell from the previous value of 24.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 14.79%, ranging from -2.4% to 24.3% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 20.93%, up from the prior three at 16.73%. Volatility over the past year (σ 7.75%) is higher than the prior year (σ 6.23%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged 5.67%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 5.44%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 10, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - CO
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About Consumer Confidence — Colombia
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 20.7 %, consensus 24 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 24.3 %. Before that (May 2026): 17.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.62) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - CO Events
| Tuesday, August 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:00 | CO | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low | |
| 16:00 | CO | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.90 | Low | |
| 16:00 | CO | ISE Economic Activity YoY | 4.1 | 2.5 | 2.50 | Low | |
| Wednesday, August 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | CO | Imports YoY | 10.6 | 10 | 10.55 | Low | |
| 15:00 | CO | Balance of Trade | -1.59 | -0.8 | -0.57 | Low | |