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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ColombiaColombia Exports YoY fell to 7.0% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Colombia Exports YoY fell to 7.0% in June 2026, released August 2026, down 12.2% from May's 19.2% reading. The reading missed the 12.0% consensus by 5.0%. Exports YoY has now declined for 3 consecutive months. The reading is in the 65th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
7
Actual
12
Consensus
19.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±5.53 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 9.35
Actual: 7
Error: +2.35
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.63 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.61 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.44 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Exports YoY (Colombia) was reported at 7% in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of 12% by 5%. The reading fell from the previous value of 19.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 4.8%, ranging from -4.1% to 12.6% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 10.03%, up from the prior three at 3.73%. Volatility over the past year (σ 6.27%) is higher than the prior year (σ 5.36%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Exports YoY has averaged 1.53%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 5.53%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 3, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Exports YoY - CO
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About Exports YoY — Colombia
DEFINITION
Exports YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in a country's exports. It provides valuable insights into the performance of a country's international trade and can be used to assess the overall health of its economy. A positive change in Exports YoY indicates an increase in exports, which can lead to economic growth and improved trade balance, while a negative change may suggest a decline in exports and potential economic challenges. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and projections.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 7 %, consensus 12 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 11.7 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 20.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.63) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - CO Events
| Tuesday, August 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:00 | CO | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low | |
| 16:00 | CO | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.90 | Low | |
| 16:00 | CO | ISE Economic Activity YoY | 4.1 | 2.5 | 2.50 | Low | |
| Wednesday, August 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | CO | Imports YoY | 10.6 | 10 | 10.55 | Low | |
| 15:00 | CO | Balance of Trade | -1.59 | -0.8 | -0.57 | Low | |