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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ColombiaColombia Exports YoY climbed to 15.1% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Colombia Exports YoY climbed to 15.1% in August 2026, released October 2026, up 9.2% from July's 5.9% reading. The print exceeded the 4.7% consensus by 10.4%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 7.52%. Over the past 3 months, Exports YoY averaged 6.45%, vs 16.3% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 94th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
15.1
Actual
4.7
Consensus
5.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±5.53 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 2.43
Actual: 15.1
Error: -12.67
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.57 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.44 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Exports YoY (Colombia) was reported at 15.1% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 4.7% by 10.4%. The reading rose from the previous value of 5.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 7.32%, ranging from -2.7% to 15.1% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 9.33%, down from the prior three at 11.9%. Volatility over the past year (σ 5.78%) is higher than the prior year (σ 4.72%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Exports YoY has averaged 4.17%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 5.53%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 4, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Exports YoY - CO
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About Exports YoY — Colombia
DEFINITION
Exports YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in a country's exports. It provides valuable insights into the performance of a country's international trade and can be used to assess the overall health of its economy. A positive change in Exports YoY indicates an increase in exports, which can lead to economic growth and improved trade balance, while a negative change may suggest a decline in exports and potential economic challenges. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and projections.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 15.1 %, consensus 4.7 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 5.9 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP, r=-0.57) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - CO Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | CO | Unemployment Rate | 8 | 9.4 | 9.2 | 8.60 | Low |
| 18:00 | CO | Interest Rate Decision | 12.25 | 12.25 | 12.25 | 12.25 | Low |
| 19:00 | CO | Cement Production YoY | 2 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 1.85 | Low |
| 19:25 | CO | Cement Production YoY | 2 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 1.85 | Low |