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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ColombiaColombia Exports YoY fell to 11.7% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Colombia Exports YoY fell to 11.7% in April 2026, released June 2026, down 9.2% from March's 20.9% reading. The reading missed the 17.0% consensus by 5.3%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 5.34%. Over the past 3 months, Exports YoY averaged 14.57%, vs 3.73% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 86th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
11.7
Actual
17
Consensus
20.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±6.64 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 15.7
Actual: 11.7
Error: +4
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.65 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.56 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Exports YoY (Colombia) was reported at 11.7% in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 17% by 5.3%. The reading fell from the previous value of 20.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 4.36%, ranging from -4.1% to 12.6% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 11.9%, up from the prior three at -0.53%. Volatility over the past year (σ 6.26%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 5.71%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Exports YoY has averaged 7.7%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 6.64%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 4, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Exports YoY - CO
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About Exports YoY — Colombia
DEFINITION
Exports YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in a country's exports. It provides valuable insights into the performance of a country's international trade and can be used to assess the overall health of its economy. A positive change in Exports YoY indicates an increase in exports, which can lead to economic growth and improved trade balance, while a negative change may suggest a decline in exports and potential economic challenges. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and projections.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 11.7 %, consensus 17 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 20.9 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 11.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP, r=-0.65) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - CO Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | CO | Unemployment Rate | 8 | 8 | 8.1 | 8.05 | Low |
| 18:00 | CO | Interest Rate Decision | 12 | 12 | 12.5 | 12.25 | Low |
| 19:20 | CO | Cement Production YoY | 4.3 | 4.6 | 4 | 4.15 | Low |
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | CO | Davivienda Manufacturing PMI | 53.7 | 53 | 52.65 | Low | |