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Colombia ISE Economic Activity YoY fell to -0.04% in August 2026, released October 2026, down 1.15% from July's 1.11% reading. The reading missed the 1.0% consensus by 1.04%. ISE Economic Activity YoY has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, ISE Economic Activity YoY averaged 2.31%, vs 3.77% in the prior 3-month window. ISE Economic Activity YoY is now the lowest in 25 months.
across last 12 releases
Oct 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.51 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.47 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.44 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.39 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
ISE Economic Activity YoY (Colombia) was reported at -0.04% in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 1% by 1.04%. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.11%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.46%, ranging from -0.04% to 4.03% across 9 releases.
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 1.52%, down from the prior three at 2.96%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.35%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.19%). In October readings over the past 3 years, ISE Economic Activity YoY has averaged 1.32%.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.2%.
The next release is scheduled for November 17, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
The ISE Economic Activity YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in economic activity in the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) market. It provides valuable insights into the overall health and growth of the Turkish economy, as well as the performance of companies listed on the ISE. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, analysts, and policymakers as it can help inform investment decisions and economic policies. A positive YoY change indicates a growing economy, while a negative change may signal a slowdown.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual -0.04 %, consensus 1 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 1.11 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 3.5 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP, r=-0.51) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | Unemployment Rate | 8 | 9.4 | 9.2 | 8.60 | Low | |
| 18:00 | Interest Rate Decision | 12.25 | 12.25 | 12.25 | 12.25 | Low | |
| 19:00 | Cement Production YoY | 2 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 1.85 | Low | |
| 19:25 | Cement Production YoY | 2 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 1.85 | Low | |