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Colombia ISE Economic Activity YoY climbed to 3.98% in March 2026, released May 2026, up 2.33% from February's 1.65% reading. The print exceeded the 1.5% consensus by 2.48%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 2.59%. Over the past 3 months, ISE Economic Activity YoY averaged 2.22%, vs 3.49% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 77th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
across last 12 releases
May 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.54 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.37 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.28 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
ISE Economic Activity YoY (Colombia) was reported at 3.98% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1.5% by 2.48%. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.65%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.74%, ranging from 1.14% to 4.33% across 10 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 2.41%, down from the prior three at 2.99%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.07%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.71%). In May readings over the past 3 years, ISE Economic Activity YoY has averaged 2.34%.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.27%.
The next release is scheduled for June 18, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
The ISE Economic Activity YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in economic activity in the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) market. It provides valuable insights into the overall health and growth of the Turkish economy, as well as the performance of companies listed on the ISE. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, analysts, and policymakers as it can help inform investment decisions and economic policies. A positive YoY change indicates a growing economy, while a negative change may signal a slowdown.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Mar 2026): actual 3.98 %, consensus 1.5 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 3.98 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 1.65 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP, r=-0.54) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | Industrial Production YoY | 2 | 3.9 | 3 | 2.50 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Retail Sales YoY | 14.9 | 13.4 | 11.4 | 13.15 | Low | |
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | Consumer Confidence | 13.7 | 14 | 14.00 | Low | ||
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:00 | ISE Economic Activity YoY | 3.98 | 2.2 | 2.03 | Low | ||