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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ColombiaColombia Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 2.2% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Colombia Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 2.2% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 1.44% from August's 0.76% reading. The print exceeded the 1.5% consensus by 0.7%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.72%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 1.14%, vs 5.64% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 42nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
2.2
Actual
1.5
Consensus
0.76
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.06 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 0.87
Actual: 2.2
Error: -1.33
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.58 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.43 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Colombia) was reported at 2.2% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1.5% by 0.7%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.76%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.74%, ranging from -2.63% to 6.79% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.49%, down from the prior three at 1.5%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.69%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.56%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.06%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 6, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - CO
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Colombia
DEFINITION
Colombia's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 2.200000% in September, beating the 1.500000% estimate and up from August's 0.760000%. This marks a notable acceleration in producer price inflation, reversing the prior month's subdued pace. Market focus will remain on upcoming inflation data and central bank responses amid this upward trend. Updated 10/6/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 2.2 %, consensus 1.5 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 0.76 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 1.51 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.58) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - CO Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | CO | Unemployment Rate | 8 | 9.4 | 9.2 | 8.60 | Low |
| 18:00 | CO | Interest Rate Decision | 12.25 | 12.25 | 12.25 | 12.25 | Low |
| 19:00 | CO | Cement Production YoY | 2 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 1.85 | Low |
| 19:25 | CO | Cement Production YoY | 2 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 1.85 | Low |