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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Czech RepublicCzech Republic Consumer Confidence climbed to 105.1% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Czech Republic Consumer Confidence climbed to 105.1% in September 2026, up 2.8% from August's 102.3% reading. The reading matched the 102.0% consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 1.6%. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged 103.95%, vs 105.3% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 63rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
105.1
Actual
102
Consensus
102.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±4 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 100.8
Actual: 105.1
Error: -4.3
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.72 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/CZK | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Czech Republic) was reported at 105.1% in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 102% by 3.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 102.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 107.11%, ranging from 102.3% to 111.7% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 104.33%, down from the prior three at 106.77%. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.03%) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.25%). In September readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged 102.17%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/CZK, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 4%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 26, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - CZ
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About Consumer Confidence — Czech Republic
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 105.1 %, consensus 102 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 102.3 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 105.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.72) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - CZ Events
| Tuesday, October 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | CZ | Inflation Rate MoM | 0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.00 | Low |
| 07:00 | CZ | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.5 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 2.50 | Low |
| Wednesday, October 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | CZ | Current Account | -34.17 | -20.4 | -20.40 | Low | |
| Friday, October 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | CZ | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.90 | Low | |
| 07:00 | CZ | Producer Price Index YoY | 2 | 3.4 | 3.30 | Low | |