Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Czech RepublicCzech Republic Consumer Confidence fell to 105.6% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Czech Republic Consumer Confidence fell to 105.6% in July 2026, down 0.9% from June's 106.5% reading. The reading matched the 106.7% consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 1.5%. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged 104.95%, vs 108.0% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 67th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
105.6
Actual
106.7
Consensus
106.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±3.33 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 106.78
Actual: 105.6
Error: +1.18
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.58 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Czech Republic) was reported at 105.6% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 106.7% by 1.1%. The reading fell from the previous value of 106.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 106.62%, ranging from 99% to 111.7% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 105.17%, down from the prior three at 109.7%. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.75%) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.16%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged 102.7%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 3.33%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 24, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
SHARE
Consumer Confidence - CZ
Loading chart data...
About Consumer Confidence — Czech Republic
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 105.6 %, consensus 106.7 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 106.5 %. Before that (May 2026): 103.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.58) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - CZ Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | CZ | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.10 | Low |
| 07:00 | CZ | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.45 | Low |
| 07:00 | CZ | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.45 | Low |
| 07:00 | CZ | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.10 | Low |
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | CZ | M3 Money Supply YoY | 6.3 | 5.3 | 4.8 | 5.55 | Low |