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Inflation Rate YoY climbed to 2.5 in April 2026, up 0.6 from March's 1.9 reading. The reading matched expectations. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.82. Over the past 3 months, Inflation Rate YoY averaged 1.62, vs 2.2 in the prior 3-month window. Inflation Rate YoY is now the highest in 8 months.
The May 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 1.9. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU) and positively correlated with Euro STOXX 50 (Bullish Euro STOXX 50).
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| Monday, May 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | Retail Sales MoM | 1.2 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 0.80 | Low | |
| 07:00 | Retail Sales YoY | 4.9 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 4.15 | Low | |
| Tuesday, May 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | Unemployment Rate | 4.9 | 5 | 4.8 | 4.85 | Low | |