Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Czech RepublicCzech Republic Manufacturing PMI climbed to 50 in February 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
Czech Republic Manufacturing PMI climbed to 50 in February 2026, released March 2026, up 0.2 from January's 49.8 reading. The reading matched the 50.4 consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 2.3. Over the past 3 months, Manufacturing PMI averaged 50.1, vs 48.13 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 88th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
50
Actual
50.4
Consensus
49.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.8
across last 11 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 50.8
Actual: 50
Error: +0.8
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Manufacturing PMI (Czech Republic) was reported at 50.00 in March 2026. This missed the market consensus of 50.40 by 0.40. The reading rose from the previous value of 49.80. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 49.21, ranging from 47.20 to 50.40 across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 50.07, up from the prior three at 48.13.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC). Over the last 11 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.80.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
SHARE
Manufacturing PMI - CZ
Loading chart data...
About Manufacturing PMI — Czech Republic
DEFINITION
Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) is a key economic indicator that measures the health of the manufacturing sector in a country. It is based on a monthly survey of purchasing managers from various industries, providing valuable insights into production levels, new orders, employment, and supplier deliveries. A PMI reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector, while a reading below 50 suggests contraction. This widely followed indicator is used by investors, businesses, and policymakers to assess the overall economic performance and make informed decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Feb 2026): actual 50, consensus 50.4. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 49.8. Before that (Dec 2025): 50.4.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.