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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Czech RepublicCzech Republic Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 1.2% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Czech Republic Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 1.2% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 0.8% from August's 0.4% reading. The print exceeded the 0.9% consensus by 0.3%. Producer Price Index MoM has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index MoM averaged 0.35%, vs 0.6% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 88th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1.2
Actual
0.9
Consensus
0.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.35 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 0.98
Actual: 1.2
Error: -0.22
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/CZK | ▼ Inverse | −0.42 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index MoM (Czech Republic) was reported at 1.2% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.9% by 0.3%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.2%, ranging from -0.7% to 1.4% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.63%, up from the prior three at 0.3%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.6%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.31%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/CZK (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.35%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 18, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Producer Price Index MoM - CZ
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About Producer Price Index MoM — Czech Republic
DEFINITION
Czech Republic's Producer Price Index MoM rose 1.200000% in October, beating the 0.900000% estimate. This marks a sharp increase from September's 0.400000%, signaling accelerating producer inflation. The stronger reading may influence market expectations ahead of upcoming monetary policy decisions. Updated 10/16/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 1.2 %, consensus 0.9 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 0.4 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 0.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/CZK (Bearish EUR, r=-0.42) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - CZ Events
| Monday, October 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | CZ | Consumer Confidence | 105.1 | 103.4 | 102.85 | Low | |
| 08:00 | CZ | Business Confidence | 98.4 | 98 | 98.10 | Low | |