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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Czech RepublicCzech Republic Producer Price Index MoM fell to 1.4% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Czech Republic Producer Price Index MoM fell to 1.4% in April 2026, released May 2026, down 0.1% from March's 1.5% reading. The print exceeded the 0.9% consensus by 0.5%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -0.08%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index MoM averaged 0.3%, vs 0.05% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 91st percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1.4
Actual
0.9
Consensus
1.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.31 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 0.63
Actual: 1.4
Error: -0.77
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.57 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.53 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| EUR/CZK | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index MoM (Czech Republic) was reported at 1.4% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.9% by 0.5%. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.03%, ranging from -0.7% to 1.4% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.27%, up from the prior three at -0%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.31%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Producer Price Index MoM - CZ
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About Producer Price Index MoM — Czech Republic
DEFINITION
Czech Republic's Producer Price Index MoM rose 1.400000% in April, missing the prior month's 1.500000% but beating the 0.900000% estimate. April's reading shows a slight deceleration from March's expansion, indicating continued but moderating inflationary pressures. Market focus remains on upcoming inflation data and central bank responses amid persistent price gains. Updated 5/20/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 1.4 %, consensus 0.9 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 1.5 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 0.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.57) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.