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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Czech RepublicCzech Republic Producer Price Index MoM fell to -0.1% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Czech Republic Producer Price Index MoM fell to -0.1% in May 2026, released June 2026, down 1.5% from April's 1.4% reading. The reading missed the 0.6% consensus by 0.7%. Producer Price Index MoM has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index MoM averaged 1.45%, vs -0.27% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 50th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-0.1
Actual
0.6
Consensus
1.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.41 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 0.85
Actual: -0.1
Error: +0.95
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.57 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.53 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| EUR/CZK | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index MoM (Czech Republic) was reported at -0.1% in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 0.6% by 0.7%. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.02%, ranging from -0.7% to 1.4% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.47%, up from the prior three at -0.2%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.41%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 16, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Producer Price Index MoM - CZ
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About Producer Price Index MoM — Czech Republic
DEFINITION
Czech Republic's Producer Price Index MoM for May registered -0.100000%, missing the 0.600000% estimate and down from April's 1.400000%. This marks a contraction following two months of strong expansion, signaling easing inflationary pressures in the industrial sector. Market focus now shifts to upcoming inflation data and central bank policy decisions amid this cooling trend. Updated 6/16/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual -0.1 %, consensus 0.6 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 1.4 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 1.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.57) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.