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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Czech RepublicCzech Republic Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 0.3% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Czech Republic Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 0.3% in July 2026, released August 2026, up 0.7% from June's -0.4% reading. The print exceeded the 0.1% consensus by 0.2%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.13%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index MoM averaged 0.3%, vs 0.3% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 84th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.3
Actual
0.1
Consensus
-0.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.37 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 0.07
Actual: 0.3
Error: -0.23
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.56 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/CZK | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index MoM (Czech Republic) was reported at 0.3% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.1% by 0.2%. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.02%, ranging from -0.7% to 1.4% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.07%, down from the prior three at 0.27%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.52%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.33%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.37%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 16, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Producer Price Index MoM - CZ
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About Producer Price Index MoM — Czech Republic
DEFINITION
Czech Republic's Producer Price Index MoM rose 0.30% in August, beating the 0.10% estimate and reversing July's -0.40% decline. August's 0.30% increase follows a contraction in July, signaling a rebound in producer prices after two months of negative readings. The shift may influence market expectations ahead of upcoming inflation data and central bank policy decisions. Updated 8/17/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 0.3 %, consensus 0.1 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): -0.4 %. Before that (May 2026): -0.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.56) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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