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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Czech RepublicCzech Republic Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 2.0% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Czech Republic Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 2.0% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.4% from July's 1.6% reading. The print exceeded the 1.8% consensus by 0.2%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 1.45%, vs 0.47% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 18 months.
Latest Release
2
Actual
1.8
Consensus
1.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.34 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 1.8
Actual: 2
Error: -0.2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/CZK | ▼ Inverse | −0.25 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Czech Republic) was reported at 2% in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1.8% by 0.2%. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.37%, ranging from -3% to 2% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 1.63%, up from the prior three at -0.13%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.81%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.56%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Euro STOXX 50 (Bullish Euro STOXX 50). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, positively correlated (Bullish DAX). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.34%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 16, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - CZ
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Czech Republic
DEFINITION
Czech Republic's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 2.000000% in September, beating the 1.800000% estimate. This marks an increase from August's 1.600000%, indicating accelerating producer price inflation. The stronger reading may influence market expectations ahead of upcoming monetary policy decisions. Updated 9/16/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 2 %, consensus 1.8 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 1.6 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 1.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Euro STOXX 50 (Bullish Euro STOXX 50, r=0.55) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - CZ Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | CZ | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Low |
| 07:00 | CZ | Producer Price Index YoY | 2 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.90 | Low |
| Thursday, September 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | CZ | Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | Low | |
| Monday, September 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | CZ | External Debt | 238.12 | 239.7 | 240.06 | Low | |