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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Czech RepublicCzech Republic Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 1.0% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Czech Republic Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 1.0% in April 2026, released May 2026, up 2.1% from March's -1.1% reading. The print exceeded the 0.6% consensus by 0.4%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged -2.33%, vs -1.7% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 14 months.
Latest Release
1
Actual
0.6
Consensus
-1.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.24 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 0.1
Actual: 1
Error: -0.9
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.54 | INDEX | Bullish Euro STOXX 50 | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | INDEX | Bullish DAX | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| EUR/CZK | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Czech Republic) was reported at 1% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.6% by 0.4%. The reading rose from the previous value of -1.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -1.27%, ranging from -3% to 1% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -1.63%, down from the prior three at -1.53%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Euro STOXX 50 (Bullish Euro STOXX 50). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, positively correlated (Bullish DAX). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.24%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - CZ
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Czech Republic
DEFINITION
Czech Republic's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 1.000000% in May, beating the 0.600000% estimate and reversing April's -1.100000% decline. This marks a sharp turnaround from contraction to expansion in producer prices year-over-year. Market focus will shift to upcoming inflation data and central bank responses amid this unexpected inflationary pressure. Updated 5/20/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 1 %, consensus 0.6 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): -1.1 %. Before that (Feb 2026): -2.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Euro STOXX 50 (Bullish Euro STOXX 50, r=0.54) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.