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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Czech RepublicCzech Republic Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 3.7% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Czech Republic Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 3.7% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 1.7% from August's 2.0% reading. The print exceeded the 3.4% consensus by 0.3%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 1.8%, vs 0.67% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 19 months.
Latest Release
3.7
Actual
3.4
Consensus
2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.34 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 3.5
Actual: 3.7
Error: -0.2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.47 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.43 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/CZK | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Czech Republic) was reported at 3.7% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 3.4% by 0.3%. The reading rose from the previous value of 2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.05%, ranging from -3% to 3.7% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.43%, up from the prior three at 1.27%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.13%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.54%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Euro STOXX 50 (Bullish Euro STOXX 50). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, positively correlated (Bullish DAX). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.34%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 18, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - CZ
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Czech Republic
DEFINITION
Czech Republic's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 3.7% in October, beating the 3.4% estimate and up from September's 2.0%. This marks a significant acceleration in producer inflation compared to the prior month. Market focus will remain on upcoming inflation data and central bank responses amid rising price pressures. Updated 10/16/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 3.7 %, consensus 3.4 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 2 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 1.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Euro STOXX 50 (Bullish Euro STOXX 50, r=0.47) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - CZ Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:30 | CZ | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 53.5 | 53 | 52.15 | Low | |
| Wednesday, November 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | CZ | Inflation Rate MoM | 0 | 0.5 | 0.45 | Low | |
| 08:00 | CZ | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.50 | Low | |