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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Czech RepublicCzech Republic Producer Price Index YoY fell to 1.3% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Czech Republic Producer Price Index YoY fell to 1.3% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 0.2% from May's 1.5% reading. The reading missed the 1.5% consensus by 0.2%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -1.07%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 0.47%, vs -2.95% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 92nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1.3
Actual
1.5
Consensus
1.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.34 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 1.4
Actual: 1.3
Error: +0.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.56 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.44 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/CZK | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Czech Republic) was reported at 1.3% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 1.5% by 0.2%. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.88%, ranging from -3% to 1.5% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.27%, up from the prior three at -2.67%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.49%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.57%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Euro STOXX 50 (Bullish Euro STOXX 50). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, positively correlated (Bullish DAX). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.34%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - CZ
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Czech Republic
DEFINITION
Czech Republic's Producer Price Index YoY for July came in at 1.3%, missing the 1.5% estimate and down from June's 1.5%. The reading indicates a slight deceleration in producer price inflation compared to the previous month. Market participants will watch upcoming inflation data closely amid this cooling trend. Updated 7/18/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 1.3 %, consensus 1.5 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 1.5 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Euro STOXX 50 (Bullish Euro STOXX 50, r=0.56) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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