Loading page content
Loading page content
Czech Republic Unemployment Rate fell to 4.8% in May 2026, released June 2026, down 0.1% from April's 4.9% reading. The reading matched expectations. Unemployment Rate has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Unemployment Rate averaged 4.97%, vs 5.03% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 77th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
across last 12 releases
Jun 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.69 | INDEX | Bullish DAX | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.61 | INDEX | Bullish Euro STOXX 50 | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| EUR/CZK | ▼ Inverse | −0.37 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Unemployment Rate (Czech Republic) was reported at 4.8% in June 2026. This matched the market consensus of 4.8% exactly. The reading fell from the previous value of 4.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 4.69%, ranging from 4.2% to 5.2% across 11 releases.
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 4.97%, up from the prior three at 4.83%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.29%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.25%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Unemployment Rate has averaged 4.2%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with DAX (Bullish DAX). A secondary relationship exists with Euro STOXX 50, positively correlated (Bullish Euro STOXX 50). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.05%.
The next release is scheduled for July 8, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
The Unemployment Rate is a key economic indicator that measures the percentage of the total labor force that is currently without a job and actively seeking employment. It is used to assess the health of the job market and the overall state of the economy. A high unemployment rate can indicate a weak economy, while a low unemployment rate can suggest a strong and growing economy. This data is closely monitored by policymakers, businesses, and investors to make informed decisions and projections.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 4.8 %, consensus 4.8 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 4.9 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 5 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with DAX (Bullish DAX, r=0.69) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | Producer Price Index YoY | 1.5 | 1 | 2.3 | 1.90 | Low | |
| 07:00 | Producer Price Index MoM | -0.1 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.25 | Low | |
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Interest Rate Decision | 3.5 | 3.75 | 3.75 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | CNB Interest Rate Decision | 3.5 | 3.75 | 3.75 | Low | ||