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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GermanyGermany Consumer Confidence fell to -30.8% in November 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Germany Consumer Confidence fell to -30.8% in November 2025, released October 2026, down 0.2% from October's -30.6% reading. The reading matched the -30.9% consensus. Consumer Confidence has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged -28.6%, vs -29.53% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 7th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-30.8
Actual
-30.9
Consensus
-30.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.39 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: -30.95
Actual: -30.8
Error: -0.15
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.51 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Germany) was reported at -30.8% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of -30.9% by 0.1%. The reading fell from the previous value of -30.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -27.59%, ranging from -30.8% to -23.2% across 11 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -29.33%, up from the prior three at -29.53%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.56%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.79%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/GBP, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.39%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 26, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Oct 30) and Inflation Rate MoM (Oct 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - DE
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About Consumer Confidence — Germany
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Nov 2025): actual -30.8 %, consensus -30.9 %. Prior reading (Oct 2025): -30.6 %. Before that (Sep 2025): -26.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR, r=-0.51) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - DE Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | DE | Import Prices MoM | 2.1 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.95 | Low |
| 07:00 | DE | Import Prices YoY | 10.4 | 8.3 | 10.3 | 10.35 | Low |
| 08:55 | DE | Unemployment Rate | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.43 | High |
| 08:55 | DE | Unemployed Persons | 3.016 | 3.012 | 3.017 | 3.02 | Medium |
| 08:55 | DE | Employment Change | 4 | 12 | 5 | 5.00 | High |
| 09:00 | DE | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.15 | High |
| 09:00 | DE | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.2 | 1 | 1.1 | 1.15 | High |