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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GermanyGermany Exports MoM climbed to 0.9% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Germany Exports MoM climbed to 0.9% in April 2026, released June 2026, up 0.6% from March's 0.3% reading. The print exceeded the -0.3% consensus by 1.2%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.09%. Over the past 3 months, Exports MoM averaged 2.05%, vs -0.27% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 63rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.9
Actual
-0.3
Consensus
0.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.91 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: -0.3
Actual: 0.9
Error: -1.2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.46 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▼ Inverse | −0.44 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | INDEX | Bearish Euro STOXX 50 | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Exports MoM (Germany) was reported at 0.9% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of -0.3% by 1.2%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.17%, ranging from -2.5% to 4% across 9 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.87%, up from the prior three at -0.97%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.87%) is lower than the prior year (σ 2.32%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Exports MoM has averaged 0.27%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/GBP, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.91%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 9, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Wholesale Prices MoM (Jun 15) and Wholesale Prices YoY (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Exports MoM - DE
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About Exports MoM — Germany
DEFINITION
Exports MoM (Month-over-Month) is a financial indicator that measures the change in a country's total exports from one month to the next. It is used by economists and investors to track the performance of a country's international trade and can provide insights into the overall health of its economy. A positive change in Exports MoM indicates an increase in exports, which can lead to economic growth and a stronger currency. Conversely, a negative change may suggest a decline in exports, which can have a negative impact on a country's economy. This indicator is often closely monitored by policymakers and businesses to make informed decisions about trade and investment strategies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 0.9 %, consensus -0.3 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 0.5 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 3.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.46) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.