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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GermanyGermany Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 1.0% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Germany Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 1.0% in April 2026, released August 2026, up 0.3% from March's 0.7% reading. The print exceeded the 0.9% consensus by 0.1%. Gross Domestic Product YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Gross Domestic Product YoY is now the highest in 18 months.
Latest Release
1
Actual
0.9
Consensus
0.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.1 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 1.05
Actual: 1
Error: +0.05
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.54 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.52 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Germany) was reported at 1% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.9% by 0.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.53%, ranging from 0.3% to 1% across 7 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.77%, up from the prior three at 0.37%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Euro STOXX 50 (Bullish Euro STOXX 50). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/JPY, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.1%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Wholesale Prices MoM (Sep 15) and Wholesale Prices YoY (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - DE
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Germany
DEFINITION
Germany's Gross Domestic Product YoY for August came in at 1.000000%, beating the 0.900000% estimate and rising from July's 0.700000%. This marks a clear acceleration in annual growth, signaling stronger economic momentum. Market participants will watch upcoming data for confirmation amid steady central bank policy. Updated 8/25/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 1 %, consensus 0.9 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 0.9 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 0.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Euro STOXX 50 (Bullish Euro STOXX 50, r=0.54) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Σ
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Economic Calendar - DE Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | DE | Wholesale Prices MoM | 0.2 | 0.1 | -0.60 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | DE | Wholesale Prices YoY | 5.3 | 6.2 | 5.35 | Medium | |
| 09:00 | DE | ZEW Economic Sentiment Index | 34.2 | 37 | 45.25 | High | |
| 09:00 | DE | ZEW Current Conditions | -61.1 | -52.2 | -53.70 | Low | |
| 09:00 | DE | Economic Sentiment | 34.2 | 42.7 | 50.85 | Medium | |