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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
EstoniaEstonia Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 3.8% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Estonia Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 3.8% in June 2026, released July 2026, up 1.1% from May's 2.7% reading. The print exceeded the 3.5% consensus by 0.3%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 2.25%, vs 1.93% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 85th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
3.8
Actual
3.5
Consensus
2.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.76 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 3.93
Actual: 3.8
Error: +0.13
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.60 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Estonia) was reported at 3.8% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 3.5% by 0.3%. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.03%, ranging from -2.2% to 4.3% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.77%, up from the prior three at 1.53%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.76%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 21, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - EE
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Estonia
DEFINITION
Estonia's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 3.800% in July, beating the 3.500% estimate. This marks an increase from June's 2.700%, indicating accelerating producer price inflation. The stronger reading may influence market expectations ahead of upcoming economic data releases. Updated 7/20/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 3.8 %, consensus 3.5 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 2.7 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 1.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP, r=-0.60) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - EE Events
| Wednesday, August 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 | EE | Industrial Production YoY | -3 | -3.5 | -7.35 | Low | |
| 05:00 | EE | Industrial Production MoM | -0.2 | 0.3 | -1.30 | Low | |
| Friday, August 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 05:00 | EE | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.5 | 0.4 | 0.40 | Low | |
| 05:00 | EE | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.20 | Low | |