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Spain Retail Sales MoM climbed to 1.2 in March 2026, released April 2026, up 1.2 from February's 0.0 reading. The print exceeded the 0.5 consensus by 0.7. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.21. Over the past 3 months, Retail Sales MoM averaged -0.27, vs 0.5 in the prior 3-month window. Retail Sales MoM is now the highest in 12 months.
across last 12 releases
Mar 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.83 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.62 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The April 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 0. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.35. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC) and positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Thursday, May 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | CPI YoY | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.20 | Medium | |
| 07:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.40 | Low | |
| 07:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.48 | Low | |
| 07:00 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.8 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Low | |
| 07:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.67 | Low | |
| 07:00 | HICP MoM | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.67 | Low | |
| 07:00 | CPI MoM | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.40 | Low | |
| 07:00 | HICP YoY | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.48 | Medium | |
| 07:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.18 | Low | |
| 10:00 | Consumer Confidence | 77.7 | 66.9 | 69 | 73.35 | Medium | |