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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SpainSpain Services PMI fell to 51.9 in February 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
Spain Services PMI fell to 51.9 in February 2026, released March 2026, down 1.6 from January's 53.5 reading. The reading matched the 52.9 consensus. Services PMI has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Services PMI averaged 55.3, vs 55.5 in the prior 3-month window. Services PMI is now the lowest in 7 months.
Latest Release
51.9
Actual
52.9
Consensus
53.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.55
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 52.7
Actual: 51.9
Error: +0.8
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.66 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.51 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Services PMI (Spain) was reported at 51.90 in March 2026. This missed the market consensus of 52.90 by 1.00. The reading fell from the previous value of 53.50. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 54.17, down from the prior three at 55.50.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.55.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Consumer Confidence (Oct 15) and Balance of Trade (Oct 20).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
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Services PMI - ES
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About Services PMI — Spain
DEFINITION
Services PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) is a key economic indicator that measures the performance of the services sector in a country. It provides valuable insights into the health of the economy by tracking changes in business activity, new orders, employment, and prices. A high Services PMI indicates a growing services sector, while a low PMI suggests a contraction. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the overall economic outlook.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Feb 2026): actual 51.9, consensus 52.9. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 53.5. Before that (Dec 2025): 57.1.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.66) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - ES Events
| Thursday, October 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | ES | Consumer Confidence | 84.1 | 83.4 | 84.50 | Medium | |