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Retail Sales YoY fell to 1.2 in March 2026, down 0.1 from February's 1.3 reading. The print exceeded the 1.0 consensus by 0.2. Retail Sales YoY has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Retail Sales YoY averaged 1.85, vs 1.7 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 30th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
The May 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 1.3. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500) and positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC).
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| Tuesday, May 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | ZEW Economic Sentiment Index | -20.4 | -20 | -20.00 | Medium | ||
| Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | ||
| 09:00 | Employment Change QoQ | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium | ||
| 09:00 | Industrial Production MoM | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | ||
| 09:00 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.20 | Low | ||
| 09:00 | Employment Change YoY | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Medium | ||
| 09:00 | Industrial Production YoY | -0.6 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | ||