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Colombia Consumer Confidence fell to 15.5% in August 2026, released September 2026, down 5.2% from July's 20.7% reading. The reading missed the 21.3% consensus by 5.8%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 18.06%. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged 20.17%, vs 16.13% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 67th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
across last 12 releases
Sep 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.62 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.47 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.37 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Consumer Confidence (Colombia) was reported at 15.5% in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of 21.3% by 5.8%. The reading fell from the previous value of 20.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 16.42%, ranging from 1.6% to 24.3% across 11 releases.
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 20.17%, up from the prior three at 16.6%. Volatility over the past year (σ 5.54%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 5.57%). In September readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged -0.73%.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 5.63%.
The next release is scheduled for October 15, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 15.5 %, consensus 21.3 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 15.5 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 20.7 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.62) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:40 | Consumer Confidence | 15.5 | 20.7 | 21.3 | 18.40 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Industrial Production YoY | -2.3 | 4.1 | -0.4 | -1.35 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Retail Sales YoY | 5.3 | 14.7 | 11.2 | 8.25 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Consumer Confidence | 15.5 | 20.7 | 21.3 | 18.40 | Low | |
| Friday, September 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | ISE Economic Activity YoY | 3.5 | 2.9 | 3.47 | Low | ||