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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SpainSpain Consumer Confidence climbed to 81.2% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Spain Consumer Confidence climbed to 81.2% in June 2026, released July 2026, up 3.5% from May's 77.7% reading. The reading matched the 79.0% consensus. Consumer Confidence has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged 72.3%, vs 80.2% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 65th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
81.2
Actual
79
Consensus
77.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.52 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 83.35
Actual: 81.2
Error: +2.15
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.79 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.61 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.53 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Spain) was reported at 81.2% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 79% by 2.2%. The reading rose from the previous value of 77.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 79.13%, ranging from 75.9% to 83.9% across 11 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 80.93%, up from the prior three at 77.47%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.86%) is lower than the prior year (σ 3.69%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged 84.47%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.52%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Aug 3) and Employment Change (Aug 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - ES
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About Consumer Confidence — Spain
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 81.2 %, consensus 79 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 77.7 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 66.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.79) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - ES Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | ES | Current Account | 1.84 | 1.88 | 4.5 | 3.17 | Low |
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | ES | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 9.5 | 9.8 | 9.45 | Low | |
| 07:15 | ES | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 49.7 | 50.7 | 51.80 | Medium | |
| Tuesday, August 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | ES | Employment Change | -28.7 | -20.3 | -42.35 | Medium | |