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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SpainSpain Consumer Confidence climbed to 84.1% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Spain Consumer Confidence climbed to 84.1% in July 2026, released September 2026, up 2.9% from June's 81.2% reading. The reading matched the 81.5% consensus. Consumer Confidence has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Consumer Confidence is now the highest in 17 months.
Latest Release
84.1
Actual
81.5
Consensus
81.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.02 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 82.6
Actual: 84.1
Error: -1.5
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.75 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.74 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.62 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.39 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Spain) was reported at 84.1% in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 81.5% by 2.6%. The reading rose from the previous value of 81.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 79.55%, ranging from 75.9% to 84.1% across 10 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 81%, up from the prior three at 80.1%. Volatility over the past year (σ 3%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 3.12%). In September readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged 85.47%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.02%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 9, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Balance of Trade (Sep 22) and Retail Sales MoM (Sep 29).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - ES
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About Consumer Confidence — Spain
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 84.1 %, consensus 81.5 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 81.2 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 77.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.75) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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