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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SloveniaSlovenia Consumer Confidence climbed to -28.0% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Slovenia Consumer Confidence climbed to -28.0% in May 2026, up 4.0% from April's -32.0% reading. The print exceeded the -30.5% consensus by 2.5%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of -25.58%. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged -27.0%, vs -23.0% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 30th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-28
Actual
-30.5
Consensus
-32
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.83 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: -21.5
Actual: -28
Error: +6.5
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Slovenia) was reported at -28% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of -30.5% by 2.5%. The reading rose from the previous value of -32%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -24.9%, ranging from -28% to -22% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -24%, unchanged from the prior three. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.12%) is lower than the prior year (σ 2.52%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged -26%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.83%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 19, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - SI
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About Consumer Confidence — Slovenia
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual -28 %, consensus -30.5 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): -32 %. Before that (Mar 2026): -22 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.