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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FinlandFinland Consumer Confidence climbed to -10.5% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Finland Consumer Confidence climbed to -10.5% in May 2026, up 2.0% from April's -12.5% reading. The print exceeded the -14.0% consensus by 3.5%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of -8.52%. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged -11.5%, vs -8.0% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 13th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-10.5
Actual
-14
Consensus
-12.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.2 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: -14
Actual: -10.5
Error: -3.5
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.41 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Finland) was reported at -10.5% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of -14% by 3.5%. The reading rose from the previous value of -12.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -8.35%, ranging from -11.5% to -6.4% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -10.83%, down from the prior three at -7.5%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.7%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.65%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged -9.73%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.2%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 29, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - FI
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About Consumer Confidence — Finland
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual -10.5 %, consensus -14 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): -12.5 %. Before that (Mar 2026): -11.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary neutral force in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.41) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.