Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FinlandFinland Current Account fell to -0.9B in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Finland Current Account fell to -0.9B in August 2026, released October 2026, down 0.7B from July's -0.2B reading. The reading missed the -0.6B consensus by 0.3B. Current Account has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Current Account averaged 1.3B, vs -0.88B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 10th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-0.9
Actual
-0.6
Consensus
-0.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.75 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: -0.4
Actual: -0.9
Error: +0.5
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.53 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.25 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Current Account (Finland) was reported at -0.90 billion in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of -0.60 billion by 0.30 billion. The reading fell from the previous value of -0.20 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.05 billion, ranging from -2.30 billion to 2.80 billion across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.57 billion, up from the prior three at -0.88 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.20 billion) is comparable than the prior year (σ 1.17 billion). In October readings over the past 3 years, Current Account has averaged 0.03 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.75 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 12, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
SHARE
Current Account - FI
Loading chart data...
About Current Account — Finland
DEFINITION
The Current Account is a financial indicator that measures a country's trade balance, including the value of goods and services exported and imported, as well as income received and payments made to other countries. It provides insight into a nation's economic health and its ability to pay for imports and service its debt. A positive current account balance indicates a surplus, while a negative balance indicates a deficit. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and economists as it can impact a country's currency value and overall economic stability.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual -0.9 M, consensus -0.6 M. Prior reading (Jul 2026): -0.2 M. Before that (Jun 2026): 2.8 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.53) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - FI Events
| Wednesday, November 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | FI | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.7 | 3.1 | 3.10 | Low | |
| 06:00 | FI | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | |