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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FinlandFinland GDP Growth Rate YoY climbed to 1.8% in July 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased October 2026
Finland GDP Growth Rate YoY climbed to 1.8% in July 2026, released October 2026, up 0.2% from June's 1.6% reading. The reading missed the 2.0% consensus by 0.2%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.63%. The reading is in the 91st percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1.8
Actual
2
Consensus
1.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.3 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 1.55
Actual: 1.8
Error: -0.25
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.53 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.25 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate YoY (Finland) was reported at 1.8% in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 2% by 0.2%. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.93%, ranging from -0.6% to 2.5% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.97%, up from the prior three at 0.4%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.04%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.61%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Bearish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.3%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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GDP Growth Rate YoY - FI
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About GDP Growth Rate YoY — Finland
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current and future economic outlook. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may indicate a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 1.8 %, consensus 2 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 2.5 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 2.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP, r=0.53) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - FI Events
| Wednesday, November 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | FI | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.7 | 3.1 | 3.10 | Low | |
| 06:00 | FI | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | |