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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FinlandFinland GDP Growth Rate YoY climbed to 2.5% in April 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased July 2026
Finland GDP Growth Rate YoY climbed to 2.5% in April 2026, released July 2026, up 1.4% from March's 1.1% reading. The print exceeded the 1.0% consensus by 1.5%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.45%. GDP Growth Rate YoY is now the highest in 45 months.
Latest Release
2.5
Actual
1
Consensus
1.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.3 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 0.9
Actual: 2.5
Error: -1.6
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.61 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.60 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate YoY (Finland) was reported at 2.5% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1% by 1.5%. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.31%, ranging from -0.9% to 2.5% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 1.23%, up from the prior three at -0.5%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.07%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.77%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.3%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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GDP Growth Rate YoY - FI
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About GDP Growth Rate YoY — Finland
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current and future economic outlook. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may indicate a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 2.5 %, consensus 1 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 1.1 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 1.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP, r=0.61) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - FI Events
| Friday, August 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | FI | Balance of Trade | -0.91 | -0.82 | -0.82 | Low | |