Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FinlandFinland Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM fell to -0.4% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Finland Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM fell to -0.4% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 0.9% from May's 0.5% reading. The print came in cooler than the -0.3% consensus, a softer print than forecasters anticipated. Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM has now declined for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM averaged 0.18%, vs 0.6% in the prior 3-month window. Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM is now the lowest in 17 months.
Latest Release
-0.4
Actual
-0.3
Consensus
0.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.17 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: -0.33
Actual: -0.4
Error: +0.08
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM (Finland) was reported at -0.4% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of -0.3% by 0.1%. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.2%, ranging from -0.4% to 1.2% across 21 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -0.07%, down from the prior three at 0.47%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.47%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.21%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM has averaged -0.3%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.17%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
SHARE
Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM - FI
Loading chart data...
About Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM — Finland
DEFINITION
The Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the overall price level of goods and services in a country over a one-month period. It takes into account the prices of a wide range of consumer goods and services, providing a comprehensive view of inflation trends. This indicator is used by policymakers, investors, and businesses to monitor and analyze the impact of inflation on the economy and make informed decisions. A higher Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM indicates an increase in prices, while a lower rate suggests a decrease in inflation.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual -0.4 %, consensus -0.3 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): -0.3 %. Before that (May 2026): 0.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - FI Events
| Tuesday, July 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 | FI | Unemployment Rate | 10 | 12.7 | 11.2 | 10.88 | Low |