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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FinlandFinland Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM climbed to 0.5% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Finland Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM climbed to 0.5% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 0.5% from April's 0.0% reading. The print came in cooler than the 0.7% consensus, a softer print than forecasters anticipated. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.35%. Over the past 3 months, Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM averaged 0.44%, vs 0.46% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 75th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.5
Actual
0.7
Consensus
0
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.17 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 0.65
Actual: 0.5
Error: +0.15
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM (Finland) was reported at 0.5% in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 0.7% by 0.2%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.24%, ranging from -0.3% to 1.2% across 20 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.4%, down from the prior three at 1.03%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.45%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.16%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM has averaged 0.38%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.17%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 1, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM - FI
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About Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM — Finland
DEFINITION
The Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the overall price level of goods and services in a country over a one-month period. It takes into account the prices of a wide range of consumer goods and services, providing a comprehensive view of inflation trends. This indicator is used by policymakers, investors, and businesses to monitor and analyze the impact of inflation on the economy and make informed decisions. A higher Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM indicates an increase in prices, while a lower rate suggests a decrease in inflation.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 0.5 %, consensus 0.7 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 0.7 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 0 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.