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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FinlandFinland Import Prices YoY fell to 6.5% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Finland Import Prices YoY fell to 6.5% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 1.7% from May's 8.2% reading. The reading missed the 8.0% consensus by 1.5%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -0.21%. Over the past 3 months, Import Prices YoY averaged 7.45%, vs -0.5% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 89th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
6.5
Actual
8
Consensus
8.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.49 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 9.08
Actual: 6.5
Error: +2.57
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.25 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Import Prices YoY (Finland) was reported at 6.5% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 8% by 1.5%. The reading fell from the previous value of 8.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.71%, ranging from -2.7% to 8.2% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 7.13%, up from the prior three at -2.4%. Volatility over the past year (σ 4.25%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.22%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Import Prices YoY has averaged 1.03%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.49%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 24, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Import Prices YoY - FI
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About Import Prices YoY — Finland
DEFINITION
Import Prices YoY is a financial indicator that measures the change in the prices of goods and services imported into a country over a period of one year. This indicator is used to track the impact of international trade on a country's economy and can provide valuable insights into inflation and the strength of the domestic currency. It is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to assess the competitiveness of a country's imports and its overall economic health.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 6.5 %, consensus 8 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 8.2 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 6.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - FI Events
| Monday, August 24, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 | FI | Import Prices YoY | 6.5 | 6.7 | 8.25 | Low | |
| 05:00 | FI | Export Prices YoY | 6.1 | 6 | 6.15 | Low | |
| 05:00 | FI | Producer Price Index YoY | 6.7 | 6.8 | 7.40 | Low | |