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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FinlandFinland Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 9.8% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Finland Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 9.8% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 2.5% from August's 7.3% reading. The print exceeded the 7.8% consensus by 2.0%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 7.1%, vs 6.23% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 20 months.
Latest Release
9.8
Actual
7.8
Consensus
7.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.01 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 7.8
Actual: 9.8
Error: -2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.61 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.59 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.57 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Finland) was reported at 9.8% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 7.8% by 2%. The reading rose from the previous value of 7.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 4.36%, ranging from -0.8% to 9.8% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 8%, up from the prior three at 6.23%. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.4%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.01%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 24, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - FI
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Finland
DEFINITION
Finland's Producer Price Index YoY surged to 9.80% in October, well above the 7.80% estimate and up from September's 7.30%. This sharp acceleration signals mounting inflationary pressures in the producer sector. Market participants will closely watch upcoming inflation data and central bank responses amid this unexpected rise. Updated 10/26/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 9.8 %, consensus 7.8 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 7.3 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 6.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.61) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - FI Events
| Wednesday, November 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | FI | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.7 | 3.1 | 3.10 | Low | |
| 06:00 | FI | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | |